Recent strength in U.S. 10-year Treasury yields near 4.97% reflects elevated inflation pressures, with August CPI at 3.4% year-over-year and oil prices surging above $100 per barrel. These factors have shifted market-implied odds toward a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, with futures pricing roughly 70-90% probability amid sticky price data and resilient economic conditions. Higher term premiums, fiscal supply concerns, and AI-driven borrowing demands have also contributed to the roughly 80 basis point rise in yields since late February. Traders are monitoring upcoming CPI prints, energy prices, and central bank communications for signals on whether yields can sustain declines before 2027 or remain range-bound near current levels.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$250,883 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
Below 3.9%
8%
Below 3.8%
7%
Below 3.7%
5%
Below 3.6%
5%
Below 3.5%
5%
Below 3.0%
4%
Below 2.0%
2%
Below 1.0%
2%
$250,883 ปริมาณ
Below 3.9%
$50,189 ปริมาณ
8%
Below 3.8%
$52,966 ปริมาณ
7%
Below 3.7%
$28,147 ปริมาณ
5%
Below 3.6%
$6,185 ปริมาณ
5%
Below 3.5%
$39,314 ปริมาณ
5%
Below 3.0%
$1,187 ปริมาณ
4%
Below 2.0%
$564 ปริมาณ
2%
Below 1.0%
$40,572 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent strength in U.S. 10-year Treasury yields near 4.97% reflects elevated inflation pressures, with August CPI at 3.4% year-over-year and oil prices surging above $100 per barrel. These factors have shifted market-implied odds toward a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, with futures pricing roughly 70-90% probability amid sticky price data and resilient economic conditions. Higher term premiums, fiscal supply concerns, and AI-driven borrowing demands have also contributed to the roughly 80 basis point rise in yields since late February. Traders are monitoring upcoming CPI prints, energy prices, and central bank communications for signals on whether yields can sustain declines before 2027 or remain range-bound near current levels.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$250,883วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent strength in U.S. 10-year Treasury yields near 4.97% reflects elevated inflation pressures, with August CPI at 3.4% year-over-year and oil prices surging above $100 per barrel. These factors have shifted market-implied odds toward a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, with futures pricing roughly 70-90% probability amid sticky price data and resilient economic conditions. Higher term premiums, fiscal supply concerns, and AI-driven borrowing demands have also contributed to the roughly 80 basis point rise in yields since late February. Traders are monitoring upcoming CPI prints, energy prices, and central bank communications for signals on whether yields can sustain declines before 2027 or remain range-bound near current levels.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$250,883วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Recent strength in U.S. 10-year Treasury yields near 4.97% reflects elevated inflation pressures, with August CPI at 3.4% year-over-year and oil prices surging above $100 per barrel. These factors have shifted market-implied odds toward a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, with futures pricing roughly 70-90% probability amid sticky price data and resilient economic conditions. Higher term premiums, fiscal supply concerns, and AI-driven borrowing demands have also contributed to the roughly 80 basis point rise in yields since late February. Traders are monitoring upcoming CPI prints, energy prices, and central bank communications for signals on whether yields can sustain declines before 2027 or remain range-bound near current levels.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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