The 5-year Treasury yield has climbed to 4.78-4.79% as of September 11, 2026, up sharply from earlier 2026 levels amid sticky inflation and shifting Fed expectations. August CPI and PPI prints aligned with or exceeded forecasts, while oil prices above $100 per barrel have lifted breakeven inflation measures and term premiums. Markets now price an 80-90% probability of a 25-basis-point federal funds rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, with additional tightening possible later in the year. Elevated fiscal supply, debt levels exceeding $40 trillion, and reduced expectations for near-term policy easing have also widened the term premium. Key near-term catalysts include the upcoming FOMC decision, retail sales, employment data, and further inflation releases that could influence the yield peak before year-end 2026.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHow high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
ใหม่
Dec 30, 2026
5.25%
73%
5.10%
86%
5.00%
84%
4.95%
86%
4.90%
87%
4.85%
92%
4.80%
93%
$5,652 ปริมาณ
5.25%
$851 ปริมาณ
73%
5.10%
$1,041 ปริมาณ
86%
5.00%
$234 ปริมาณ
84%
4.95%
$199 ปริมาณ
86%
4.90%
$119 ปริมาณ
87%
4.85%
$234 ปริมาณ
92%
4.80%
$1,401 ปริมาณ
93%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).The 5-year Treasury yield has climbed to 4.78-4.79% as of September 11, 2026, up sharply from earlier 2026 levels amid sticky inflation and shifting Fed expectations. August CPI and PPI prints aligned with or exceeded forecasts, while oil prices above $100 per barrel have lifted breakeven inflation measures and term premiums. Markets now price an 80-90% probability of a 25-basis-point federal funds rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, with additional tightening possible later in the year. Elevated fiscal supply, debt levels exceeding $40 trillion, and reduced expectations for near-term policy easing have also widened the term premium. Key near-term catalysts include the upcoming FOMC decision, retail sales, employment data, and further inflation releases that could influence the yield peak before year-end 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,652วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).The 5-year Treasury yield has climbed to 4.78-4.79% as of September 11, 2026, up sharply from earlier 2026 levels amid sticky inflation and shifting Fed expectations. August CPI and PPI prints aligned with or exceeded forecasts, while oil prices above $100 per barrel have lifted breakeven inflation measures and term premiums. Markets now price an 80-90% probability of a 25-basis-point federal funds rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, with additional tightening possible later in the year. Elevated fiscal supply, debt levels exceeding $40 trillion, and reduced expectations for near-term policy easing have also widened the term premium. Key near-term catalysts include the upcoming FOMC decision, retail sales, employment data, and further inflation releases that could influence the yield peak before year-end 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,652วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...The 5-year Treasury yield has climbed to 4.78-4.79% as of September 11, 2026, up sharply from earlier 2026 levels amid sticky inflation and shifting Fed expectations. August CPI and PPI prints aligned with or exceeded forecasts, while oil prices above $100 per barrel have lifted breakeven inflation measures and term premiums. Markets now price an 80-90% probability of a 25-basis-point federal funds rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, with additional tightening possible later in the year. Elevated fiscal supply, debt levels exceeding $40 trillion, and reduced expectations for near-term policy easing have also widened the term premium. Key near-term catalysts include the upcoming FOMC decision, retail sales, employment data, and further inflation releases that could influence the yield peak before year-end 2026.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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