Recent economic data and institutional forecasts position 2026 U.S. real GDP growth near 2.0–2.2%, with the Congressional Budget Office projecting 2.2%, the IMF at 2.3%, and the FOMC’s June median at 2.2%. AI-related capital expenditures and resilient consumer spending have supported business investment, offsetting drags from elevated energy prices tied to Middle East developments and firmer inflation readings. The Federal Reserve’s decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75% reflects persistent price pressures, while second-quarter GDP came in at a 1.5% annualized rate. Polymarket odds favoring the 2.0–2.5% band over 1.5–2.0% capture this balance between productivity gains and supply-side headwinds, with upcoming CPI releases and the September FOMC meeting as near-term swing factors.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วGDP growth in 2026
GDP growth in 2026
2.0–2.5% 45%
1.5–2.0% 38.4%
>2.5% 6.1%
<0.5% 3.3%
$60,615 ปริมาณ
$60,615 ปริมาณ
Jan 28, 2027
<0.5%
3%
0.5–1.0%
1%
1.0–1.5%
3%
1.5–2.0%
38%
2.0–2.5%
45%
>2.5%
6%
2.0–2.5% 45%
1.5–2.0% 38.4%
>2.5% 6.1%
<0.5% 3.3%
$60,615 ปริมาณ
$60,615 ปริมาณ
Jan 28, 2027
<0.5%
$7,659 ปริมาณ
3%
0.5–1.0%
$17,367 ปริมาณ
1%
1.0–1.5%
$3,951 ปริมาณ
3%
1.5–2.0%
$7,588 ปริมาณ
38%
2.0–2.5%
$7,922 ปริมาณ
45%
>2.5%
$16,129 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent economic data and institutional forecasts position 2026 U.S. real GDP growth near 2.0–2.2%, with the Congressional Budget Office projecting 2.2%, the IMF at 2.3%, and the FOMC’s June median at 2.2%. AI-related capital expenditures and resilient consumer spending have supported business investment, offsetting drags from elevated energy prices tied to Middle East developments and firmer inflation readings. The Federal Reserve’s decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75% reflects persistent price pressures, while second-quarter GDP came in at a 1.5% annualized rate. Polymarket odds favoring the 2.0–2.5% band over 1.5–2.0% capture this balance between productivity gains and supply-side headwinds, with upcoming CPI releases and the September FOMC meeting as near-term swing factors.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 12, 2025, 6:17 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$60,615วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 29, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 6:17 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent economic data and institutional forecasts position 2026 U.S. real GDP growth near 2.0–2.2%, with the Congressional Budget Office projecting 2.2%, the IMF at 2.3%, and the FOMC’s June median at 2.2%. AI-related capital expenditures and resilient consumer spending have supported business investment, offsetting drags from elevated energy prices tied to Middle East developments and firmer inflation readings. The Federal Reserve’s decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75% reflects persistent price pressures, while second-quarter GDP came in at a 1.5% annualized rate. Polymarket odds favoring the 2.0–2.5% band over 1.5–2.0% capture this balance between productivity gains and supply-side headwinds, with upcoming CPI releases and the September FOMC meeting as near-term swing factors.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$60,615วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 29, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 6:17 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Recent economic data and institutional forecasts position 2026 U.S. real GDP growth near 2.0–2.2%, with the Congressional Budget Office projecting 2.2%, the IMF at 2.3%, and the FOMC’s June median at 2.2%. AI-related capital expenditures and resilient consumer spending have supported business investment, offsetting drags from elevated energy prices tied to Middle East developments and firmer inflation readings. The Federal Reserve’s decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75% reflects persistent price pressures, while second-quarter GDP came in at a 1.5% annualized rate. Polymarket odds favoring the 2.0–2.5% band over 1.5–2.0% capture this balance between productivity gains and supply-side headwinds, with upcoming CPI releases and the September FOMC meeting as near-term swing factors.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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