Recent August labor market data, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.1% and nonfarm payrolls rising 162,000, underpin the tight clustering of Polymarket odds around 4.1% and 4.2% for September. Labor force participation rebounded modestly to 61.6%, while average hourly earnings growth eased to 3.1% year-over-year, signaling a stable yet not overheating jobs market. Trader consensus reflects this equilibrium, balanced against broader indicators such as subdued hiring in prior months and the Federal Reserve's steady policy stance amid elevated inflation readings. The September employment report, due October 2, serves as the primary near-term catalyst, with potential swings in participation rates or sector-specific employment likely determining whether the rate edges to 4.0% or ticks higher to 4.2%.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วSeptember Unemployment Rate
September Unemployment Rate
4.2% 33%
4.1% 32%
4.0% 20%
4.3% 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 2, 2026
≤3.8%
4%
3.9%
5%
4.0%
20%
4.1%
32%
4.2%
33%
4.3%
11%
4.4%
4%
4.5%
2%
≥4.6%
3%
4.2% 33%
4.1% 32%
4.0% 20%
4.3% 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 2, 2026
≤3.8%
$798 ปริมาณ
4%
3.9%
$141 ปริมาณ
5%
4.0%
$86 ปริมาณ
20%
4.1%
$1,309 ปริมาณ
32%
4.2%
$409 ปริมาณ
33%
4.3%
$87 ปริมาณ
11%
4.4%
$199 ปริมาณ
4%
4.5%
$529 ปริมาณ
2%
≥4.6%
$528 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for September 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent August labor market data, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.1% and nonfarm payrolls rising 162,000, underpin the tight clustering of Polymarket odds around 4.1% and 4.2% for September. Labor force participation rebounded modestly to 61.6%, while average hourly earnings growth eased to 3.1% year-over-year, signaling a stable yet not overheating jobs market. Trader consensus reflects this equilibrium, balanced against broader indicators such as subdued hiring in prior months and the Federal Reserve's steady policy stance amid elevated inflation readings. The September employment report, due October 2, serves as the primary near-term catalyst, with potential swings in participation rates or sector-specific employment likely determining whether the rate edges to 4.0% or ticks higher to 4.2%.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for September 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 4, 2026, 12:35 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,086วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 4, 2026, 12:35 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htmผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for September 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent August labor market data, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.1% and nonfarm payrolls rising 162,000, underpin the tight clustering of Polymarket odds around 4.1% and 4.2% for September. Labor force participation rebounded modestly to 61.6%, while average hourly earnings growth eased to 3.1% year-over-year, signaling a stable yet not overheating jobs market. Trader consensus reflects this equilibrium, balanced against broader indicators such as subdued hiring in prior months and the Federal Reserve's steady policy stance amid elevated inflation readings. The September employment report, due October 2, serves as the primary near-term catalyst, with potential swings in participation rates or sector-specific employment likely determining whether the rate edges to 4.0% or ticks higher to 4.2%.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for September 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,086วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 4, 2026, 12:35 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htmผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent August labor market data, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.1% and nonfarm payrolls rising 162,000, underpin the tight clustering of Polymarket odds around 4.1% and 4.2% for September. Labor force participation rebounded modestly to 61.6%, while average hourly earnings growth eased to 3.1% year-over-year, signaling a stable yet not overheating jobs market. Trader consensus reflects this equilibrium, balanced against broader indicators such as subdued hiring in prior months and the Federal Reserve's steady policy stance amid elevated inflation readings. The September employment report, due October 2, serves as the primary near-term catalyst, with potential swings in participation rates or sector-specific employment likely determining whether the rate edges to 4.0% or ticks higher to 4.2%.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย