Recent Atlanta Fed GDPNow nowcasts for Q3 2026 real GDP growth, currently at 4.7% annualized as of early September, reflect upward revisions from strong consumer spending and private investment data, including AI-related capital expenditures. These readings support the market's leading implied probability of 42% for growth at or above 3.0%, outpacing the 25.5% on 2.0–2.5% and 22.5% on 2.5–3.0%. Solid August payroll gains of 162,000 and an unemployment rate holding at 4.1% reinforce labor market resilience, though professional forecaster medians around 2.2% and elevated core PCE inflation near 3.3% introduce downside risks ahead of the advance estimate. Trader consensus prices in this range of outcomes amid tight monetary policy.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วUS GDP growth in Q3 2026?
US GDP growth in Q3 2026?
≥3.0% 42%
2.0–2.5% 26%
2.5–3.0% 23%
1.5–2.0% 9%
$25,170 ปริมาณ
$25,170 ปริมาณ
Oct 29, 2026
<0.5%
3%
0.5–1.0%
3%
1.0–1.5%
5%
1.5–2.0%
9%
2.0–2.5%
26%
2.5–3.0%
23%
≥3.0%
42%
≥3.0% 42%
2.0–2.5% 26%
2.5–3.0% 23%
1.5–2.0% 9%
$25,170 ปริมาณ
$25,170 ปริมาณ
Oct 29, 2026
<0.5%
$896 ปริมาณ
3%
0.5–1.0%
$559 ปริมาณ
3%
1.0–1.5%
$650 ปริมาณ
5%
1.5–2.0%
$718 ปริมาณ
9%
2.0–2.5%
$1,885 ปริมาณ
26%
2.5–3.0%
$3,391 ปริมาณ
23%
≥3.0%
$17,072 ปริมาณ
42%
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 29, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.Recent Atlanta Fed GDPNow nowcasts for Q3 2026 real GDP growth, currently at 4.7% annualized as of early September, reflect upward revisions from strong consumer spending and private investment data, including AI-related capital expenditures. These readings support the market's leading implied probability of 42% for growth at or above 3.0%, outpacing the 25.5% on 2.0–2.5% and 22.5% on 2.5–3.0%. Solid August payroll gains of 162,000 and an unemployment rate holding at 4.1% reinforce labor market resilience, though professional forecaster medians around 2.2% and elevated core PCE inflation near 3.3% introduce downside risks ahead of the advance estimate. Trader consensus prices in this range of outcomes amid tight monetary policy.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 29, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 31, 2026, 5:38 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,170วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 31, 2026, 5:38 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 29, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.Recent Atlanta Fed GDPNow nowcasts for Q3 2026 real GDP growth, currently at 4.7% annualized as of early September, reflect upward revisions from strong consumer spending and private investment data, including AI-related capital expenditures. These readings support the market's leading implied probability of 42% for growth at or above 3.0%, outpacing the 25.5% on 2.0–2.5% and 22.5% on 2.5–3.0%. Solid August payroll gains of 162,000 and an unemployment rate holding at 4.1% reinforce labor market resilience, though professional forecaster medians around 2.2% and elevated core PCE inflation near 3.3% introduce downside risks ahead of the advance estimate. Trader consensus prices in this range of outcomes amid tight monetary policy.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 29, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,170วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 31, 2026, 5:38 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent Atlanta Fed GDPNow nowcasts for Q3 2026 real GDP growth, currently at 4.7% annualized as of early September, reflect upward revisions from strong consumer spending and private investment data, including AI-related capital expenditures. These readings support the market's leading implied probability of 42% for growth at or above 3.0%, outpacing the 25.5% on 2.0–2.5% and 22.5% on 2.5–3.0%. Solid August payroll gains of 162,000 and an unemployment rate holding at 4.1% reinforce labor market resilience, though professional forecaster medians around 2.2% and elevated core PCE inflation near 3.3% introduce downside risks ahead of the advance estimate. Trader consensus prices in this range of outcomes amid tight monetary policy.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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