Allyson Bezerra (União Brasil) holds the leading position in the Rio Grande do Norte governor race, with trader consensus at 61% reflecting consistent leads in recent September 2026 polls ranging from 30% to 42% in the first round. His advantage stems from strong name recognition as former Mossoró mayor, a broad coalition including MDB support, and voter surveys showing potential first-round victory thresholds above 50% of valid votes. Cadu de Lula (PT) trails at 26% amid backing from President Lula but lower polling numbers around 17-25%, while Álvaro Dias (PL) sits at 12% with figures near 21-26%. Minor candidates register negligible support. The October 4 first-round vote and possible October 25 runoff remain the key resolution triggers, with ongoing campaign events and final polling trends likely to influence market adjustments before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAllyson 61%
Cadu de Lula 25%
Álvaro Dias 12%
Arinalda do MLB <1%
$20,937 Vol.
$20,937 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Allyson
61%
Cadu de Lula
25%
Álvaro Dias
12%
Arinalda do MLB
<1%
Carlos Jararaca
<1%
Dário Barbosa
<1%
Henrique Lyra
<1%
Professor Roberio Paulino
<1%
Rodrigo Bolsonaro
<1%
Allyson 61%
Cadu de Lula 25%
Álvaro Dias 12%
Arinalda do MLB <1%
$20,937 Vol.
$20,937 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Allyson
$8,838 Vol.
61%
Cadu de Lula
$6,472 Vol.
25%
Álvaro Dias
$1,965 Vol.
12%
Arinalda do MLB
$556 Vol.
<1%
Carlos Jararaca
$579 Vol.
<1%
Dário Barbosa
$575 Vol.
<1%
Henrique Lyra
$584 Vol.
<1%
Professor Roberio Paulino
$698 Vol.
<1%
Rodrigo Bolsonaro
$671 Vol.
<1%
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Allyson Bezerra (União Brasil) holds the leading position in the Rio Grande do Norte governor race, with trader consensus at 61% reflecting consistent leads in recent September 2026 polls ranging from 30% to 42% in the first round. His advantage stems from strong name recognition as former Mossoró mayor, a broad coalition including MDB support, and voter surveys showing potential first-round victory thresholds above 50% of valid votes. Cadu de Lula (PT) trails at 26% amid backing from President Lula but lower polling numbers around 17-25%, while Álvaro Dias (PL) sits at 12% with figures near 21-26%. Minor candidates register negligible support. The October 4 first-round vote and possible October 25 runoff remain the key resolution triggers, with ongoing campaign events and final polling trends likely to influence market adjustments before election day.
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET
Volume
$20,937End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Allyson Bezerra (União Brasil) holds the leading position in the Rio Grande do Norte governor race, with trader consensus at 61% reflecting consistent leads in recent September 2026 polls ranging from 30% to 42% in the first round. His advantage stems from strong name recognition as former Mossoró mayor, a broad coalition including MDB support, and voter surveys showing potential first-round victory thresholds above 50% of valid votes. Cadu de Lula (PT) trails at 26% amid backing from President Lula but lower polling numbers around 17-25%, while Álvaro Dias (PL) sits at 12% with figures near 21-26%. Minor candidates register negligible support. The October 4 first-round vote and possible October 25 runoff remain the key resolution triggers, with ongoing campaign events and final polling trends likely to influence market adjustments before election day.
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$20,937End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Allyson Bezerra (União Brasil) holds the leading position in the Rio Grande do Norte governor race, with trader consensus at 61% reflecting consistent leads in recent September 2026 polls ranging from 30% to 42% in the first round. His advantage stems from strong name recognition as former Mossoró mayor, a broad coalition including MDB support, and voter surveys showing potential first-round victory thresholds above 50% of valid votes. Cadu de Lula (PT) trails at 26% amid backing from President Lula but lower polling numbers around 17-25%, while Álvaro Dias (PL) sits at 12% with figures near 21-26%. Minor candidates register negligible support. The October 4 first-round vote and possible October 25 runoff remain the key resolution triggers, with ongoing campaign events and final polling trends likely to influence market adjustments before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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