Roseana Sarney (MDB) holds the narrow lead in trader pricing for first place in the Maranhão Senate race, reflecting her consistent edge in recent polling amid a fragmented field of 11 registered candidates for two seats decided on October 4. Alliances pairing her with Weverton Rocha (PDT) under the broader MDB-led coalition for state governor have consolidated support, while rivals including Fufuca (PP), Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO), and incumbent Eliziane Gama (PT) draw from overlapping voter bases. High undecided shares near 80 percent in surveys keep the contest tight, with no single contender exceeding low double digits in head-to-head measures. Further separation could emerge from late-September polling shifts, finalized campaign messaging, or turnout patterns among key regional blocs before the single-round vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRoseana Sarney 57%
Lahesio Bonfim 14.8%
Weverton Rocha 11.6%
Fufuca 8.8%
$26,954 Vol.
$26,954 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Roseana Sarney
57%
Lahesio Bonfim
22%
Weverton Rocha
12%
Fufuca
12%
Eliziane Gama
14%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
<1%
Raimundo Moreira
<1%
Simplício Araújo
<1%
Cidônio Gonçalves
<1%
Enilton Rodrigues
<1%
Wilson Leite
<1%
Roseana Sarney 57%
Lahesio Bonfim 14.8%
Weverton Rocha 11.6%
Fufuca 8.8%
$26,954 Vol.
$26,954 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Roseana Sarney
$16,999 Vol.
57%
Lahesio Bonfim
$4,098 Vol.
22%
Weverton Rocha
$2,327 Vol.
12%
Fufuca
$596 Vol.
12%
Eliziane Gama
$638 Vol.
14%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
$391 Vol.
<1%
Raimundo Moreira
$412 Vol.
<1%
Simplício Araújo
$367 Vol.
<1%
Cidônio Gonçalves
$405 Vol.
<1%
Enilton Rodrigues
$282 Vol.
<1%
Wilson Leite
$439 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Roseana Sarney (MDB) holds the narrow lead in trader pricing for first place in the Maranhão Senate race, reflecting her consistent edge in recent polling amid a fragmented field of 11 registered candidates for two seats decided on October 4. Alliances pairing her with Weverton Rocha (PDT) under the broader MDB-led coalition for state governor have consolidated support, while rivals including Fufuca (PP), Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO), and incumbent Eliziane Gama (PT) draw from overlapping voter bases. High undecided shares near 80 percent in surveys keep the contest tight, with no single contender exceeding low double digits in head-to-head measures. Further separation could emerge from late-September polling shifts, finalized campaign messaging, or turnout patterns among key regional blocs before the single-round vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET
Volume
$26,954End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Roseana Sarney (MDB) holds the narrow lead in trader pricing for first place in the Maranhão Senate race, reflecting her consistent edge in recent polling amid a fragmented field of 11 registered candidates for two seats decided on October 4. Alliances pairing her with Weverton Rocha (PDT) under the broader MDB-led coalition for state governor have consolidated support, while rivals including Fufuca (PP), Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO), and incumbent Eliziane Gama (PT) draw from overlapping voter bases. High undecided shares near 80 percent in surveys keep the contest tight, with no single contender exceeding low double digits in head-to-head measures. Further separation could emerge from late-September polling shifts, finalized campaign messaging, or turnout patterns among key regional blocs before the single-round vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$26,954End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Roseana Sarney (MDB) holds the narrow lead in trader pricing for first place in the Maranhão Senate race, reflecting her consistent edge in recent polling amid a fragmented field of 11 registered candidates for two seats decided on October 4. Alliances pairing her with Weverton Rocha (PDT) under the broader MDB-led coalition for state governor have consolidated support, while rivals including Fufuca (PP), Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO), and incumbent Eliziane Gama (PT) draw from overlapping voter bases. High undecided shares near 80 percent in surveys keep the contest tight, with no single contender exceeding low double digits in head-to-head measures. Further separation could emerge from late-September polling shifts, finalized campaign messaging, or turnout patterns among key regional blocs before the single-round vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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