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icon for Amapá Governor Election Winner
Politics·Brazil

Amapá Governor Election Winner

icon for Amapá Governor Election Winner
Politics·Brazil

Amapá Governor Election Winner

Dr. Furlan 87%

Clécio Luís 5.6%

Marcos Reategui 4.3%

Jairo Palheta 2.2%

Polymarket
NEW

Dr. Furlan 87%

Clécio Luís 5.6%

Marcos Reategui 4.3%

Jairo Palheta 2.2%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Dr. Furlan

Dr. Furlan

$6,296 Vol.

87%

icon for Clécio Luís

Clécio Luís

$318 Vol.

6%

icon for Marcos Reategui

Marcos Reategui

$209 Vol.

4%

icon for Jairo Palheta

Jairo Palheta

$374 Vol.

2%

icon for Carlos Cley

Carlos Cley

$128 Vol.

1%

The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Dr. Furlan (PSD), the former mayor of Macapá, maintains a commanding lead in the Amapá gubernatorial race ahead of the October 4 first round, driven by repeated polling from institutes such as Real Time Big Data and Paraná Pesquisas showing him at 59-66% in stimulated first-round scenarios against incumbent Clécio Luís (União) at 30-32%. This positioning reflects Furlan's high name recognition from recent reelection as mayor and active September campaign events including walks in Macapá and Santana, alongside his wife's parallel Senate bid. Clécio Luís, backed by President Lula and Senate President Davi Alcolumbre, trails despite some approval for state governance. Minor candidates including Delegado Marcos, Jairo Palheta, and Carlos Cley register negligible support. Trader consensus prices align with these trends indicating a likely first-round outcome.

The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$7,325
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:31 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Dr. Furlan (PSD), the former mayor of Macapá, maintains a commanding lead in the Amapá gubernatorial race ahead of the October 4 first round, driven by repeated polling from institutes such as Real Time Big Data and Paraná Pesquisas showing him at 59-66% in stimulated first-round scenarios against incumbent Clécio Luís (União) at 30-32%. This positioning reflects Furlan's high name recognition from recent reelection as mayor and active September campaign events including walks in Macapá and Santana, alongside his wife's parallel Senate bid. Clécio Luís, backed by President Lula and Senate President Davi Alcolumbre, trails despite some approval for state governance. Minor candidates including Delegado Marcos, Jairo Palheta, and Carlos Cley register negligible support. Trader consensus prices align with these trends indicating a likely first-round outcome.

The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$7,325
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:31 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Amapá Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Dr. Furlan" at 87%, followed by "Clécio Luís" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 87¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Amapá Governor Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Amapá Governor Election Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Amapá Governor Election Winner" is "Dr. Furlan" at 87%, meaning the market assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Clécio Luís" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Amapá Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.