Recent polling averages show Alan Rick (Republicanos) holding a lead over incumbent Mailza Assis (PP) in first-round intentions, typically in the low-to-mid 30s percent versus the mid-to-high 20s, with Tião Bocalom (PSDB) in third. Assis assumed the governorship in April 2026 after Gladson Cameli stepped down to run for Senate and maintains approval ratings near 67 percent. Campaign activity in early September centered on health-care access, with Rick emphasizing state management changes and Assis highlighting constituent input for policy planning ahead of the October 4 first round. The narrow market spread between the two frontrunners reflects persistent uncertainty over whether Rick can convert his polling edge into a first-round majority or force a runoff, while minor candidates remain negligible.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAlan Rick 57%
Mailza Assis 43%
Tião Bocalom <1%
Dr. Luisinho <1%
$37,177 Vol.
$37,177 Vol.

Alan Rick
57%

Mailza Assis
43%

Tião Bocalom
<1%

Dr. Luisinho
<1%

Eudo Raffael
<1%

Thor Dantas
<1%
Alan Rick 57%
Mailza Assis 43%
Tião Bocalom <1%
Dr. Luisinho <1%
$37,177 Vol.
$37,177 Vol.

Alan Rick
57%

Mailza Assis
43%

Tião Bocalom
<1%

Dr. Luisinho
<1%

Eudo Raffael
<1%

Thor Dantas
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:27 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages show Alan Rick (Republicanos) holding a lead over incumbent Mailza Assis (PP) in first-round intentions, typically in the low-to-mid 30s percent versus the mid-to-high 20s, with Tião Bocalom (PSDB) in third. Assis assumed the governorship in April 2026 after Gladson Cameli stepped down to run for Senate and maintains approval ratings near 67 percent. Campaign activity in early September centered on health-care access, with Rick emphasizing state management changes and Assis highlighting constituent input for policy planning ahead of the October 4 first round. The narrow market spread between the two frontrunners reflects persistent uncertainty over whether Rick can convert his polling edge into a first-round majority or force a runoff, while minor candidates remain negligible.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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