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icon for Amazonas Governor Election Winner
Politics·Brazil

Amazonas Governor Election Winner

icon for Amazonas Governor Election Winner
Politics·Brazil

Amazonas Governor Election Winner

Omar Aziz 59%

Professora Maria do Carmo 25%

Roberto Cidade 15.7%

Gilberto Vasconcelos 1.0%

Polymarket

$25,527 Vol.

Omar Aziz 59%

Professora Maria do Carmo 25%

Roberto Cidade 15.7%

Gilberto Vasconcelos 1.0%

Polymarket

$25,527 Vol.

icon for Omar Aziz

Omar Aziz

$8,877 Vol.

59%

icon for Professora Maria do Carmo

Professora Maria do Carmo

$5,391 Vol.

25%

icon for Roberto Cidade

Roberto Cidade

$4,178 Vol.

16%

icon for Gilberto Vasconcelos

Gilberto Vasconcelos

$1,851 Vol.

1%

icon for Cabo Daciolo

Cabo Daciolo

$1,543 Vol.

<1%

icon for David Almeida

David Almeida

$1,911 Vol.

<1%

icon for Isael Munduruku

Isael Munduruku

$1,776 Vol.

<1%

The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Omar Aziz (PSD), a former governor and current senator, maintains a consistent lead in recent polling averages for the October 4 first-round vote, supported by name recognition and endorsements from parties including MDB and Republicanos. The race remains competitive because Roberto Cidade (União Brasil), the current governor elected indirectly earlier in 2026, shares support with Professora Maria do Carmo (PL) and David Almeida (Avante) in the 15-22% range across multiple surveys, fragmenting the opposition and leaving high shares of undecided or blank votes. Second-round simulations show narrow margins in several pairings, reflecting regional divides between Manaus and the interior as well as voter rejection patterns. Traders price Aziz highest while assigning substantial uncertainty to the field, consistent with the potential for late shifts from campaign events or turnout differences before the October 25 runoff if needed.

The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$25,527
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Omar Aziz (PSD), a former governor and current senator, maintains a consistent lead in recent polling averages for the October 4 first-round vote, supported by name recognition and endorsements from parties including MDB and Republicanos. The race remains competitive because Roberto Cidade (União Brasil), the current governor elected indirectly earlier in 2026, shares support with Professora Maria do Carmo (PL) and David Almeida (Avante) in the 15-22% range across multiple surveys, fragmenting the opposition and leaving high shares of undecided or blank votes. Second-round simulations show narrow margins in several pairings, reflecting regional divides between Manaus and the interior as well as voter rejection patterns. Traders price Aziz highest while assigning substantial uncertainty to the field, consistent with the potential for late shifts from campaign events or turnout differences before the October 25 runoff if needed.

The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$25,527
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Amazonas Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Omar Aziz" at 59%, followed by "Professora Maria do Carmo" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 59¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Amazonas Governor Election Winner" has generated $25.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Amazonas Governor Election Winner," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Amazonas Governor Election Winner" is "Omar Aziz" at 59%, meaning the market assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Professora Maria do Carmo" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Amazonas Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.