Tony Wied holds a commanding lead in the Wisconsin 8th congressional district race due to his incumbency in a Republican-leaning district with an R+8 partisan voter index and consistent "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. He won his August 2026 primary unopposed after securing the seat in the 2024 special election with 57.3% of the vote and has raised over $1 million compared to Democratic nominee Rick Crosson's roughly $75,000. Crosson, a retired Army officer and former local school board member, prevailed in a fragmented Democratic primary but faces structural headwinds in a district encompassing Green Bay and Appleton. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as unexpected national shifts, candidate health issues, or major scandals could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$21,226 交易量
$21,226 交易量
托尼·维德(共和党)
92%
Rick Crosson(民主党)
9%
$21,226 交易量
$21,226 交易量
托尼·维德(共和党)
92%
Rick Crosson(民主党)
9%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Tony Wied holds a commanding lead in the Wisconsin 8th congressional district race due to his incumbency in a Republican-leaning district with an R+8 partisan voter index and consistent "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. He won his August 2026 primary unopposed after securing the seat in the 2024 special election with 57.3% of the vote and has raised over $1 million compared to Democratic nominee Rick Crosson's roughly $75,000. Crosson, a retired Army officer and former local school board member, prevailed in a fragmented Democratic primary but faces structural headwinds in a district encompassing Green Bay and Appleton. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as unexpected national shifts, candidate health issues, or major scandals could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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