Gregory Meeks, the longtime Democratic incumbent representing New York’s 5th congressional district in southeast Queens, holds a commanding position in the November 3, 2026 general election against Republican George Marsh. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with its D+24 partisan voter index and Meeks’s 72.9% victory in 2024. Both primaries were uncontested after challengers withdrew, and Meeks maintains a substantial fundraising edge while Marsh has reported no receipts. The district’s consistent Democratic performance and Meeks’s long tenure as ranking member on the House Foreign Affairs Committee reinforce trader consensus. A shift would require an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment strong enough to overcome the structural Democratic advantage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$63,632 交易量
$63,632 交易量
2026-11-02
格雷戈里·米克斯（民主党）
97%
乔治·马什（共和党）
1%
$63,632 交易量
$63,632 交易量
2026-11-02
格雷戈里·米克斯（民主党）
$21,390 交易量
97%
乔治·马什（共和党）
$42,241 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Gregory Meeks, the longtime Democratic incumbent representing New York’s 5th congressional district in southeast Queens, holds a commanding position in the November 3, 2026 general election against Republican George Marsh. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with its D+24 partisan voter index and Meeks’s 72.9% victory in 2024. Both primaries were uncontested after challengers withdrew, and Meeks maintains a substantial fundraising edge while Marsh has reported no receipts. The district’s consistent Democratic performance and Meeks’s long tenure as ranking member on the House Foreign Affairs Committee reinforce trader consensus. A shift would require an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment strong enough to overcome the structural Democratic advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
交易量
$63,632结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Gregory Meeks, the longtime Democratic incumbent representing New York’s 5th congressional district in southeast Queens, holds a commanding position in the November 3, 2026 general election against Republican George Marsh. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with its D+24 partisan voter index and Meeks’s 72.9% victory in 2024. Both primaries were uncontested after challengers withdrew, and Meeks maintains a substantial fundraising edge while Marsh has reported no receipts. The district’s consistent Democratic performance and Meeks’s long tenure as ranking member on the House Foreign Affairs Committee reinforce trader consensus. A shift would require an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment strong enough to overcome the structural Democratic advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$63,632结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETGregory Meeks, the longtime Democratic incumbent representing New York’s 5th congressional district in southeast Queens, holds a commanding position in the November 3, 2026 general election against Republican George Marsh. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with its D+24 partisan voter index and Meeks’s 72.9% victory in 2024. Both primaries were uncontested after challengers withdrew, and Meeks maintains a substantial fundraising edge while Marsh has reported no receipts. The district’s consistent Democratic performance and Meeks’s long tenure as ranking member on the House Foreign Affairs Committee reinforce trader consensus. A shift would require an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment strong enough to overcome the structural Democratic advantage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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