Incumbent Keith Self holds a commanding position in the Texas 3rd congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+11 following recent redistricting. Self secured renomination comfortably in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Evan Hunt advanced unopposed. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Self aligns with this baseline. Potential shifts could stem from unforeseen developments such as a major scandal, significant national political realignment, or health-related events affecting the incumbent before the November 3, 2026, general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$35,646 交易量
$35,646 交易量
基思·塞尔夫(共和党)
95%
埃文·亨特(民主党)
6%
$35,646 交易量
$35,646 交易量
基思·塞尔夫(共和党)
95%
埃文·亨特(民主党)
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Incumbent Keith Self holds a commanding position in the Texas 3rd congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+11 following recent redistricting. Self secured renomination comfortably in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Evan Hunt advanced unopposed. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Self aligns with this baseline. Potential shifts could stem from unforeseen developments such as a major scandal, significant national political realignment, or health-related events affecting the incumbent before the November 3, 2026, general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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