Incumbent Democrat Rick Larsen holds a commanding lead in the WA-02 House race due to the district’s consistent Democratic tilt, demonstrated by Kamala Harris’s 8.5-point margin there in 2024 and long-term partisan fundamentals. Larsen, seeking a fourteenth term after winning the August 2026 top-two primary with roughly 45 percent, benefits from substantial fundraising exceeding $2 million, his senior committee roles including ranking member on Transportation and Infrastructure, and the absence of competitive Republican opposition. Challenger Edwin Feller advanced from the primary with about 33 percent but shows minimal reported campaign resources. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with nonpartisan forecasts rating the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. A realistic shift would require unforeseen late developments such as a major scandal or health event affecting Larsen before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$32,309 交易量
$32,309 交易量
2026-11-03
里克·拉森（民主党）
97%
埃德温·费勒（共和党）
2%
$32,309 交易量
$32,309 交易量
2026-11-03
里克·拉森（民主党）
$13,157 交易量
97%
埃德温·费勒（共和党）
$19,152 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Rick Larsen holds a commanding lead in the WA-02 House race due to the district’s consistent Democratic tilt, demonstrated by Kamala Harris’s 8.5-point margin there in 2024 and long-term partisan fundamentals. Larsen, seeking a fourteenth term after winning the August 2026 top-two primary with roughly 45 percent, benefits from substantial fundraising exceeding $2 million, his senior committee roles including ranking member on Transportation and Infrastructure, and the absence of competitive Republican opposition. Challenger Edwin Feller advanced from the primary with about 33 percent but shows minimal reported campaign resources. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with nonpartisan forecasts rating the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. A realistic shift would require unforeseen late developments such as a major scandal or health event affecting Larsen before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$32,309结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Rick Larsen holds a commanding lead in the WA-02 House race due to the district’s consistent Democratic tilt, demonstrated by Kamala Harris’s 8.5-point margin there in 2024 and long-term partisan fundamentals. Larsen, seeking a fourteenth term after winning the August 2026 top-two primary with roughly 45 percent, benefits from substantial fundraising exceeding $2 million, his senior committee roles including ranking member on Transportation and Infrastructure, and the absence of competitive Republican opposition. Challenger Edwin Feller advanced from the primary with about 33 percent but shows minimal reported campaign resources. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with nonpartisan forecasts rating the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. A realistic shift would require unforeseen late developments such as a major scandal or health event affecting Larsen before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$32,309结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETIncumbent Democrat Rick Larsen holds a commanding lead in the WA-02 House race due to the district’s consistent Democratic tilt, demonstrated by Kamala Harris’s 8.5-point margin there in 2024 and long-term partisan fundamentals. Larsen, seeking a fourteenth term after winning the August 2026 top-two primary with roughly 45 percent, benefits from substantial fundraising exceeding $2 million, his senior committee roles including ranking member on Transportation and Infrastructure, and the absence of competitive Republican opposition. Challenger Edwin Feller advanced from the primary with about 33 percent but shows minimal reported campaign resources. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with nonpartisan forecasts rating the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. A realistic shift would require unforeseen late developments such as a major scandal or health event affecting Larsen before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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