Virginia's 3rd congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic advantage rooted in its D+18 partisan voting index and urban-suburban composition across Hampton Roads. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott, who secured 70 percent in the prior cycle, advanced unopposed through the August 4 primary on the post-redistricting map, while the Republican nominee faces limited resources and visibility. Nonpartisan forecasters uniformly classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus at 96 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data suggesting an upset. Scenarios that could still shift odds include late-breaking scandals, health events affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political wave altering turnout patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$63,234 交易量
$63,234 交易量
2026-11-02
鲍比·斯科特（民主党）
96%
埃德温·里维拉（共和党）
4%
$63,234 交易量
$63,234 交易量
2026-11-02
鲍比·斯科特（民主党）
$21,571 交易量
96%
埃德温·里维拉（共和党）
$41,664 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 3rd congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic advantage rooted in its D+18 partisan voting index and urban-suburban composition across Hampton Roads. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott, who secured 70 percent in the prior cycle, advanced unopposed through the August 4 primary on the post-redistricting map, while the Republican nominee faces limited resources and visibility. Nonpartisan forecasters uniformly classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus at 96 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data suggesting an upset. Scenarios that could still shift odds include late-breaking scandals, health events affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political wave altering turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$63,234结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 3rd congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic advantage rooted in its D+18 partisan voting index and urban-suburban composition across Hampton Roads. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott, who secured 70 percent in the prior cycle, advanced unopposed through the August 4 primary on the post-redistricting map, while the Republican nominee faces limited resources and visibility. Nonpartisan forecasters uniformly classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus at 96 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data suggesting an upset. Scenarios that could still shift odds include late-breaking scandals, health events affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political wave altering turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$63,234结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETVirginia's 3rd congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic advantage rooted in its D+18 partisan voting index and urban-suburban composition across Hampton Roads. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott, who secured 70 percent in the prior cycle, advanced unopposed through the August 4 primary on the post-redistricting map, while the Republican nominee faces limited resources and visibility. Nonpartisan forecasters uniformly classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus at 96 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data suggesting an upset. Scenarios that could still shift odds include late-breaking scandals, health events affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political wave altering turnout patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题