Gwen Moore's commanding position in the WI-04 House race stems from the district's entrenched Democratic lean in Milwaukee and surrounding suburbs, where she has represented voters since 2005 and captured 74.8% of the vote in 2024. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Moore secured her party's nomination in the August 11 primary by defeating challenger Amy Donahue, while perennial Republican candidate Tim Rogers advanced after prevailing in his primary. Limited campaign activity and fundraising on the Republican side reinforce trader consensus around the incumbent's advantage. An unforeseen scandal, significant health development, or unanticipated national political shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$36,788 交易量
$36,788 交易量
2026-11-02
格温·摩尔（民主党）
96%
蒂姆·罗杰斯（共和党）
1%
$36,788 交易量
$36,788 交易量
2026-11-02
格温·摩尔（民主党）
$14,357 交易量
96%
蒂姆·罗杰斯（共和党）
$22,431 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Gwen Moore's commanding position in the WI-04 House race stems from the district's entrenched Democratic lean in Milwaukee and surrounding suburbs, where she has represented voters since 2005 and captured 74.8% of the vote in 2024. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Moore secured her party's nomination in the August 11 primary by defeating challenger Amy Donahue, while perennial Republican candidate Tim Rogers advanced after prevailing in his primary. Limited campaign activity and fundraising on the Republican side reinforce trader consensus around the incumbent's advantage. An unforeseen scandal, significant health development, or unanticipated national political shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$36,788结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Gwen Moore's commanding position in the WI-04 House race stems from the district's entrenched Democratic lean in Milwaukee and surrounding suburbs, where she has represented voters since 2005 and captured 74.8% of the vote in 2024. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Moore secured her party's nomination in the August 11 primary by defeating challenger Amy Donahue, while perennial Republican candidate Tim Rogers advanced after prevailing in his primary. Limited campaign activity and fundraising on the Republican side reinforce trader consensus around the incumbent's advantage. An unforeseen scandal, significant health development, or unanticipated national political shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$36,788结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETGwen Moore's commanding position in the WI-04 House race stems from the district's entrenched Democratic lean in Milwaukee and surrounding suburbs, where she has represented voters since 2005 and captured 74.8% of the vote in 2024. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Moore secured her party's nomination in the August 11 primary by defeating challenger Amy Donahue, while perennial Republican candidate Tim Rogers advanced after prevailing in his primary. Limited campaign activity and fundraising on the Republican side reinforce trader consensus around the incumbent's advantage. An unforeseen scandal, significant health development, or unanticipated national political shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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