Recent Missouri Supreme Court rulings have restored the 2022 congressional map for the November general election, preserving Emanuel Cleaver’s stronger position in the Kansas City-based district after Republicans’ mid-decade redraw was blocked. This development has narrowed the race and supported Cleaver’s 55% implied probability in trader consensus. State Sen. Rick Brattin secured the Republican nomination in the August primary under the contested lines but now campaigns on the prior boundaries that delivered Cleaver over 60% in 2024. Cleaver’s long incumbency, local name recognition, and fundraising edge anchor Democratic performance, while Brattin benefits from statewide GOP momentum and Trump endorsement. The November outcome hinges on turnout in urban and suburban precincts under the settled map.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$28,689 交易量
$28,689 交易量
2026-11-03
埃曼纽尔·克利弗（民主党）
55%
里克·布拉特恩（共和党）
43%
$28,689 交易量
$28,689 交易量
2026-11-03
埃曼纽尔·克利弗（民主党）
$11,506 交易量
55%
里克·布拉特恩（共和党）
$17,183 交易量
43%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent Missouri Supreme Court rulings have restored the 2022 congressional map for the November general election, preserving Emanuel Cleaver’s stronger position in the Kansas City-based district after Republicans’ mid-decade redraw was blocked. This development has narrowed the race and supported Cleaver’s 55% implied probability in trader consensus. State Sen. Rick Brattin secured the Republican nomination in the August primary under the contested lines but now campaigns on the prior boundaries that delivered Cleaver over 60% in 2024. Cleaver’s long incumbency, local name recognition, and fundraising edge anchor Democratic performance, while Brattin benefits from statewide GOP momentum and Trump endorsement. The November outcome hinges on turnout in urban and suburban precincts under the settled map.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
交易量
$28,689结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent Missouri Supreme Court rulings have restored the 2022 congressional map for the November general election, preserving Emanuel Cleaver’s stronger position in the Kansas City-based district after Republicans’ mid-decade redraw was blocked. This development has narrowed the race and supported Cleaver’s 55% implied probability in trader consensus. State Sen. Rick Brattin secured the Republican nomination in the August primary under the contested lines but now campaigns on the prior boundaries that delivered Cleaver over 60% in 2024. Cleaver’s long incumbency, local name recognition, and fundraising edge anchor Democratic performance, while Brattin benefits from statewide GOP momentum and Trump endorsement. The November outcome hinges on turnout in urban and suburban precincts under the settled map.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$28,689结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETRecent Missouri Supreme Court rulings have restored the 2022 congressional map for the November general election, preserving Emanuel Cleaver’s stronger position in the Kansas City-based district after Republicans’ mid-decade redraw was blocked. This development has narrowed the race and supported Cleaver’s 55% implied probability in trader consensus. State Sen. Rick Brattin secured the Republican nomination in the August primary under the contested lines but now campaigns on the prior boundaries that delivered Cleaver over 60% in 2024. Cleaver’s long incumbency, local name recognition, and fundraising edge anchor Democratic performance, while Brattin benefits from statewide GOP momentum and Trump endorsement. The November outcome hinges on turnout in urban and suburban precincts under the settled map.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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