Redistricting following the Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais transformed Louisiana's 6th Congressional District into a solidly Republican seat anchored in the Baton Rouge area, with Republican voter registration outpacing Democrats and a partisan lean exceeding R+16. The prior Democratic incumbent, Cleo Fields, opted not to seek reelection under the new boundaries, creating an open contest where multiple Republican state legislators, including Blake Miguez and Rick Edmonds, hold fundraising and organizational edges in a crowded jungle primary set for November 3. Historical voting patterns, including a strong 2024 presidential performance by Republicans, reinforce trader consensus around a GOP outcome, though the December runoff format and large undecided voter share in early polling leave room for shifts if Democratic turnout surges or Republican candidates fragment significantly.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$69,262 交易量
$69,262 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
93%
民主党
7%
$69,262 交易量
$69,262 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
$39,134 交易量
93%
民主党
$30,128 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting following the Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais transformed Louisiana's 6th Congressional District into a solidly Republican seat anchored in the Baton Rouge area, with Republican voter registration outpacing Democrats and a partisan lean exceeding R+16. The prior Democratic incumbent, Cleo Fields, opted not to seek reelection under the new boundaries, creating an open contest where multiple Republican state legislators, including Blake Miguez and Rick Edmonds, hold fundraising and organizational edges in a crowded jungle primary set for November 3. Historical voting patterns, including a strong 2024 presidential performance by Republicans, reinforce trader consensus around a GOP outcome, though the December runoff format and large undecided voter share in early polling leave room for shifts if Democratic turnout surges or Republican candidates fragment significantly.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$69,262结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting following the Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais transformed Louisiana's 6th Congressional District into a solidly Republican seat anchored in the Baton Rouge area, with Republican voter registration outpacing Democrats and a partisan lean exceeding R+16. The prior Democratic incumbent, Cleo Fields, opted not to seek reelection under the new boundaries, creating an open contest where multiple Republican state legislators, including Blake Miguez and Rick Edmonds, hold fundraising and organizational edges in a crowded jungle primary set for November 3. Historical voting patterns, including a strong 2024 presidential performance by Republicans, reinforce trader consensus around a GOP outcome, though the December runoff format and large undecided voter share in early polling leave room for shifts if Democratic turnout surges or Republican candidates fragment significantly.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$69,262结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRedistricting following the Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais transformed Louisiana's 6th Congressional District into a solidly Republican seat anchored in the Baton Rouge area, with Republican voter registration outpacing Democrats and a partisan lean exceeding R+16. The prior Democratic incumbent, Cleo Fields, opted not to seek reelection under the new boundaries, creating an open contest where multiple Republican state legislators, including Blake Miguez and Rick Edmonds, hold fundraising and organizational edges in a crowded jungle primary set for November 3. Historical voting patterns, including a strong 2024 presidential performance by Republicans, reinforce trader consensus around a GOP outcome, though the December runoff format and large undecided voter share in early polling leave room for shifts if Democratic turnout surges or Republican candidates fragment significantly.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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