Maine’s 2nd District race remains competitive after Democratic Rep. Jared Golden opted not to seek reelection, opening a Republican-leaning seat that backed Trump by nine points in 2024. Trader consensus gives former Gov. Paul LePage a modest edge over state Auditor Matthew Dunlap, reflecting the district’s conservative tilt, LePage’s name recognition from prior statewide runs, and his stronger fundraising position. Dunlap secured the Democratic nomination in June via ranked-choice voting after a crowded primary that national Democrats had hoped would produce a more moderate nominee. Recent polling shows mixed results, with some surveys indicating a single-digit LePage lead and others nearly tied. Key factors that could widen the gap include further national political shifts, additional campaign spending by outside groups, or voter turnout patterns in this rural district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-02
保罗·勒佩奇（共和党）
58%
马修·邓拉普（民主党）
42%
最新
最新
2026-11-02
保罗·勒佩奇（共和党）
$5,814 交易量
58%
马修·邓拉普（民主党）
$2,263 交易量
42%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maine’s 2nd District race remains competitive after Democratic Rep. Jared Golden opted not to seek reelection, opening a Republican-leaning seat that backed Trump by nine points in 2024. Trader consensus gives former Gov. Paul LePage a modest edge over state Auditor Matthew Dunlap, reflecting the district’s conservative tilt, LePage’s name recognition from prior statewide runs, and his stronger fundraising position. Dunlap secured the Democratic nomination in June via ranked-choice voting after a crowded primary that national Democrats had hoped would produce a more moderate nominee. Recent polling shows mixed results, with some surveys indicating a single-digit LePage lead and others nearly tied. Key factors that could widen the gap include further national political shifts, additional campaign spending by outside groups, or voter turnout patterns in this rural district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jul 20, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
交易量
$8,077结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jul 20, 2026, 6:15 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maine’s 2nd District race remains competitive after Democratic Rep. Jared Golden opted not to seek reelection, opening a Republican-leaning seat that backed Trump by nine points in 2024. Trader consensus gives former Gov. Paul LePage a modest edge over state Auditor Matthew Dunlap, reflecting the district’s conservative tilt, LePage’s name recognition from prior statewide runs, and his stronger fundraising position. Dunlap secured the Democratic nomination in June via ranked-choice voting after a crowded primary that national Democrats had hoped would produce a more moderate nominee. Recent polling shows mixed results, with some surveys indicating a single-digit LePage lead and others nearly tied. Key factors that could widen the gap include further national political shifts, additional campaign spending by outside groups, or voter turnout patterns in this rural district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$8,077结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jul 20, 2026, 6:15 PM ETMaine’s 2nd District race remains competitive after Democratic Rep. Jared Golden opted not to seek reelection, opening a Republican-leaning seat that backed Trump by nine points in 2024. Trader consensus gives former Gov. Paul LePage a modest edge over state Auditor Matthew Dunlap, reflecting the district’s conservative tilt, LePage’s name recognition from prior statewide runs, and his stronger fundraising position. Dunlap secured the Democratic nomination in June via ranked-choice voting after a crowded primary that national Democrats had hoped would produce a more moderate nominee. Recent polling shows mixed results, with some surveys indicating a single-digit LePage lead and others nearly tied. Key factors that could widen the gap include further national political shifts, additional campaign spending by outside groups, or voter turnout patterns in this rural district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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