Incumbent Ann Wagner holds a clear edge in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s Republican lean (R+4 to R+6 PVI) and her strong primary performance. Wagner secured the Republican nomination with roughly 74 percent of the vote on August 4, while Democrat Fred Wellman advanced narrowly from a competitive three-way primary. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, consistent with Wagner’s incumbency advantages and the district’s suburban St. Louis composition. Wellman, a retired Army veteran, has focused on voter concerns over costs and healthcare access, and a pre-primary poll showed the matchup within the margin of error before positive messaging. Campaign finance contrasts and limited recent polling continue to shape trader assessments of the general election outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$11,656 交易量
$11,656 交易量
2026-11-02
安·瓦格纳（共和党）
63%
弗雷德·韦尔曼（民主党）
38%
$11,656 交易量
$11,656 交易量
2026-11-02
安·瓦格纳（共和党）
$6,073 交易量
63%
弗雷德·韦尔曼（民主党）
$5,583 交易量
38%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Ann Wagner holds a clear edge in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s Republican lean (R+4 to R+6 PVI) and her strong primary performance. Wagner secured the Republican nomination with roughly 74 percent of the vote on August 4, while Democrat Fred Wellman advanced narrowly from a competitive three-way primary. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, consistent with Wagner’s incumbency advantages and the district’s suburban St. Louis composition. Wellman, a retired Army veteran, has focused on voter concerns over costs and healthcare access, and a pre-primary poll showed the matchup within the margin of error before positive messaging. Campaign finance contrasts and limited recent polling continue to shape trader assessments of the general election outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$11,656结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Ann Wagner holds a clear edge in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s Republican lean (R+4 to R+6 PVI) and her strong primary performance. Wagner secured the Republican nomination with roughly 74 percent of the vote on August 4, while Democrat Fred Wellman advanced narrowly from a competitive three-way primary. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, consistent with Wagner’s incumbency advantages and the district’s suburban St. Louis composition. Wellman, a retired Army veteran, has focused on voter concerns over costs and healthcare access, and a pre-primary poll showed the matchup within the margin of error before positive messaging. Campaign finance contrasts and limited recent polling continue to shape trader assessments of the general election outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$11,656结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETIncumbent Ann Wagner holds a clear edge in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s Republican lean (R+4 to R+6 PVI) and her strong primary performance. Wagner secured the Republican nomination with roughly 74 percent of the vote on August 4, while Democrat Fred Wellman advanced narrowly from a competitive three-way primary. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, consistent with Wagner’s incumbency advantages and the district’s suburban St. Louis composition. Wellman, a retired Army veteran, has focused on voter concerns over costs and healthcare access, and a pre-primary poll showed the matchup within the margin of error before positive messaging. Campaign finance contrasts and limited recent polling continue to shape trader assessments of the general election outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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