**Bob Onder, the Republican incumbent first elected in 2024, holds a commanding lead in Missouri’s 3rd Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election.** He secured the GOP nomination in the August 4 primary with 66% against challenger John Fraser and benefits from strong fundraising—nearly $950,000 raised versus roughly $43,000 for Democratic nominee Bethany Mann, who won her primary with 69%. The district’s Republican tilt, demonstrated by Onder’s 26-point margin in 2024, underpins trader consensus. Recent redistricting litigation, including a Missouri Supreme Court ruling and a federal temporary restraining order affecting map implementation, has created procedural uncertainty but has not materially shifted the competitive balance. A Democratic victory would require an unusually large swing in voter turnout or a major unforeseen development such as a candidate health issue or significant scandal.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$28,331 交易量
$28,331 交易量
2026-11-02
鲍勃·昂德（共和党）
93%
贝瑟妮·曼恩（民主党）
7%
$28,331 交易量
$28,331 交易量
2026-11-02
鲍勃·昂德（共和党）
$12,585 交易量
93%
贝瑟妮·曼恩（民主党）
$15,746 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Bob Onder, the Republican incumbent first elected in 2024, holds a commanding lead in Missouri’s 3rd Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election.** He secured the GOP nomination in the August 4 primary with 66% against challenger John Fraser and benefits from strong fundraising—nearly $950,000 raised versus roughly $43,000 for Democratic nominee Bethany Mann, who won her primary with 69%. The district’s Republican tilt, demonstrated by Onder’s 26-point margin in 2024, underpins trader consensus. Recent redistricting litigation, including a Missouri Supreme Court ruling and a federal temporary restraining order affecting map implementation, has created procedural uncertainty but has not materially shifted the competitive balance. A Democratic victory would require an unusually large swing in voter turnout or a major unforeseen development such as a candidate health issue or significant scandal.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$28,331结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Bob Onder, the Republican incumbent first elected in 2024, holds a commanding lead in Missouri’s 3rd Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election.** He secured the GOP nomination in the August 4 primary with 66% against challenger John Fraser and benefits from strong fundraising—nearly $950,000 raised versus roughly $43,000 for Democratic nominee Bethany Mann, who won her primary with 69%. The district’s Republican tilt, demonstrated by Onder’s 26-point margin in 2024, underpins trader consensus. Recent redistricting litigation, including a Missouri Supreme Court ruling and a federal temporary restraining order affecting map implementation, has created procedural uncertainty but has not materially shifted the competitive balance. A Democratic victory would require an unusually large swing in voter turnout or a major unforeseen development such as a candidate health issue or significant scandal.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$28,331结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET**Bob Onder, the Republican incumbent first elected in 2024, holds a commanding lead in Missouri’s 3rd Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election.** He secured the GOP nomination in the August 4 primary with 66% against challenger John Fraser and benefits from strong fundraising—nearly $950,000 raised versus roughly $43,000 for Democratic nominee Bethany Mann, who won her primary with 69%. The district’s Republican tilt, demonstrated by Onder’s 26-point margin in 2024, underpins trader consensus. Recent redistricting litigation, including a Missouri Supreme Court ruling and a federal temporary restraining order affecting map implementation, has created procedural uncertainty but has not materially shifted the competitive balance. A Democratic victory would require an unusually large swing in voter turnout or a major unforeseen development such as a candidate health issue or significant scandal.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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