Incumbent Republican Anna Paulina Luna holds a strong position in Florida’s 13th Congressional District, a seat with an R+6 Partisan Voter Index where the GOP nominee has prevailed in recent cycles. Luna, unopposed in the Republican primary, benefits from incumbency, substantial cash reserves exceeding $1.4 million, and established name recognition ahead of the November 3 general election. Democrat Leela Gray, a retired Army brigadier general who secured her party’s nomination in August, has launched targeted ads accusing Luna of corruption and insider trading tied to prediction markets, prompting a cease-and-desist letter from Luna’s counsel on September 17 denying the claims and highlighting her prior push to restrict congressional stock trading. A late-August Democratic poll showed Gray narrowly ahead, yet broader forecasting models rate the race Likely Republican, aligning with trader consensus reflected in current pricing. An independent candidate also appears on the ballot, though with limited reported impact.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于安娜·保利娜·卢娜(共和党)
75%
丽拉·格雷(民主党)
27%
安娜·保利娜·卢娜(共和党)
75%
丽拉·格雷(民主党)
27%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Incumbent Republican Anna Paulina Luna holds a strong position in Florida’s 13th Congressional District, a seat with an R+6 Partisan Voter Index where the GOP nominee has prevailed in recent cycles. Luna, unopposed in the Republican primary, benefits from incumbency, substantial cash reserves exceeding $1.4 million, and established name recognition ahead of the November 3 general election. Democrat Leela Gray, a retired Army brigadier general who secured her party’s nomination in August, has launched targeted ads accusing Luna of corruption and insider trading tied to prediction markets, prompting a cease-and-desist letter from Luna’s counsel on September 17 denying the claims and highlighting her prior push to restrict congressional stock trading. A late-August Democratic poll showed Gray narrowly ahead, yet broader forecasting models rate the race Likely Republican, aligning with trader consensus reflected in current pricing. An independent candidate also appears on the ballot, though with limited reported impact.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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