Incumbent Glenn Grothman holds a commanding position in Wisconsin's 6th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, supported by the district's consistent Republican lean, his multiple prior victories including 61 percent in 2024, and unopposed advancement through the August 11 Republican primary. Brad Smith narrowly secured the Democratic nomination but trails significantly in fundraising and faces a district rated Solid Republican by major forecasters, limiting crossover appeal. Multiple independent candidates further fragment potential opposition votes. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, with shifts possible only from major late developments such as a national partisan wave, candidate health events, or unexpected scandals before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$36,469 交易量
$36,469 交易量
2026-11-02
格伦·格罗斯曼（共和党）
92%
布拉德·史密斯（民主党）
6%
$36,469 交易量
$36,469 交易量
2026-11-02
格伦·格罗斯曼（共和党）
$20,058 交易量
92%
布拉德·史密斯（民主党）
$16,411 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Glenn Grothman holds a commanding position in Wisconsin's 6th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, supported by the district's consistent Republican lean, his multiple prior victories including 61 percent in 2024, and unopposed advancement through the August 11 Republican primary. Brad Smith narrowly secured the Democratic nomination but trails significantly in fundraising and faces a district rated Solid Republican by major forecasters, limiting crossover appeal. Multiple independent candidates further fragment potential opposition votes. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, with shifts possible only from major late developments such as a national partisan wave, candidate health events, or unexpected scandals before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$36,469结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Glenn Grothman holds a commanding position in Wisconsin's 6th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, supported by the district's consistent Republican lean, his multiple prior victories including 61 percent in 2024, and unopposed advancement through the August 11 Republican primary. Brad Smith narrowly secured the Democratic nomination but trails significantly in fundraising and faces a district rated Solid Republican by major forecasters, limiting crossover appeal. Multiple independent candidates further fragment potential opposition votes. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, with shifts possible only from major late developments such as a national partisan wave, candidate health events, or unexpected scandals before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$36,469结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETIncumbent Glenn Grothman holds a commanding position in Wisconsin's 6th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, supported by the district's consistent Republican lean, his multiple prior victories including 61 percent in 2024, and unopposed advancement through the August 11 Republican primary. Brad Smith narrowly secured the Democratic nomination but trails significantly in fundraising and faces a district rated Solid Republican by major forecasters, limiting crossover appeal. Multiple independent candidates further fragment potential opposition votes. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, with shifts possible only from major late developments such as a national partisan wave, candidate health events, or unexpected scandals before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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