Persistent inflation above the Banco de la República’s 3% target continues to anchor expectations for the October policy meeting, with August 2026 CPI rising to a two-year high of 6.24% year-over-year and surprising analysts on the upside. The central bank held the benchmark rate at 12% in July after earlier hikes totaling 275 basis points this year, citing the need to assess lagged effects of tightening, currency movements, and external risks including Fed policy shifts that have narrowed Colombia’s interest-rate differential. Recent board comments emphasize recalibrating the stance amid indexation pressures from the 23% minimum-wage increase and elevated inflation expectations, while market-implied odds of roughly 76.5% for no change reflect a data-dependent “high-for-longer” approach rather than immediate further tightening. The September 30 meeting and incoming September inflation data remain key near-term catalysts that could shift probabilities ahead of October.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日据え置き 77%
25ベーシスポイント引き上げ 11%
25ベーシスポイント引き下げ 8%
50ベーシスポイント以上の引き上げ 6.0%
新規
新規
2026/10/29
50ベーシスポイント以上の引き下げ
1%
25ベーシスポイント引き下げ
8%
据え置き
77%
25ベーシスポイント引き上げ
11%
50ベーシスポイント以上の引き上げ
6%
据え置き 77%
25ベーシスポイント引き上げ 11%
25ベーシスポイント引き下げ 8%
50ベーシスポイント以上の引き上げ 6.0%
新規
新規
2026/10/29
50ベーシスポイント以上の引き下げ
$323 Vol.
1%
25ベーシスポイント引き下げ
$1,013 Vol.
8%
据え置き
$2,570 Vol.
77%
25ベーシスポイント引き上げ
$584 Vol.
11%
50ベーシスポイント以上の引き上げ
$906 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the monetary policy interest rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Central Bank of Colombia (Banco de la Republica), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Central Bank of Colombia, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 30, 2026, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar (https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Central Bank of Colombia resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.Persistent inflation above the Banco de la República’s 3% target continues to anchor expectations for the October policy meeting, with August 2026 CPI rising to a two-year high of 6.24% year-over-year and surprising analysts on the upside. The central bank held the benchmark rate at 12% in July after earlier hikes totaling 275 basis points this year, citing the need to assess lagged effects of tightening, currency movements, and external risks including Fed policy shifts that have narrowed Colombia’s interest-rate differential. Recent board comments emphasize recalibrating the stance amid indexation pressures from the 23% minimum-wage increase and elevated inflation expectations, while market-implied odds of roughly 76.5% for no change reflect a data-dependent “high-for-longer” approach rather than immediate further tightening. The September 30 meeting and incoming September inflation data remain key near-term catalysts that could shift probabilities ahead of October.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the monetary policy interest rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Central Bank of Colombia (Banco de la Republica), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Central Bank of Colombia, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 30, 2026, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar (https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Central Bank of Colombia resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Central Bank of Colombia, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 30, 2026, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar (https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Central Bank of Colombia resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 11, 2026, 11:32 AM ET
音量
$5,395終了日
2026/10/30マーケット開始日
Sep 11, 2026, 11:32 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the monetary policy interest rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Central Bank of Colombia (Banco de la Republica), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Central Bank of Colombia, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 30, 2026, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar (https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Central Bank of Colombia resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.Persistent inflation above the Banco de la República’s 3% target continues to anchor expectations for the October policy meeting, with August 2026 CPI rising to a two-year high of 6.24% year-over-year and surprising analysts on the upside. The central bank held the benchmark rate at 12% in July after earlier hikes totaling 275 basis points this year, citing the need to assess lagged effects of tightening, currency movements, and external risks including Fed policy shifts that have narrowed Colombia’s interest-rate differential. Recent board comments emphasize recalibrating the stance amid indexation pressures from the 23% minimum-wage increase and elevated inflation expectations, while market-implied odds of roughly 76.5% for no change reflect a data-dependent “high-for-longer” approach rather than immediate further tightening. The September 30 meeting and incoming September inflation data remain key near-term catalysts that could shift probabilities ahead of October.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the monetary policy interest rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Central Bank of Colombia (Banco de la Republica), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Central Bank of Colombia, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 30, 2026, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar (https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Central Bank of Colombia resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Central Bank of Colombia, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 30, 2026, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar (https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Central Bank of Colombia resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
音量
$5,395終了日
2026/10/30マーケット開始日
Sep 11, 2026, 11:32 AM ETPersistent inflation above the Banco de la República’s 3% target continues to anchor expectations for the October policy meeting, with August 2026 CPI rising to a two-year high of 6.24% year-over-year and surprising analysts on the upside. The central bank held the benchmark rate at 12% in July after earlier hikes totaling 275 basis points this year, citing the need to assess lagged effects of tightening, currency movements, and external risks including Fed policy shifts that have narrowed Colombia’s interest-rate differential. Recent board comments emphasize recalibrating the stance amid indexation pressures from the 23% minimum-wage increase and elevated inflation expectations, while market-implied odds of roughly 76.5% for no change reflect a data-dependent “high-for-longer” approach rather than immediate further tightening. The September 30 meeting and incoming September inflation data remain key near-term catalysts that could shift probabilities ahead of October.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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