Recent August 2026 Core CPI data, which printed at 2.4% year-over-year after a 2.5% July reading, combined with Cleveland Fed nowcasts near 2.39% for September, has concentrated market-implied odds on the 2.4% outcome. The firmer 0.3% monthly core pace surprised to the upside versus 0.2% expectations, reflecting persistent services and shelter components that offset softer goods prices. Traders are weighing continued disinflationary trends in housing against upside risks from energy spillovers and labor-market resilience, with the September BLS release due in mid-October serving as the next key catalyst. This distribution reflects aggregated positioning ahead of potential FOMC policy implications.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2.4% 40%
2.5% 24%
2.3% 22%
2.2% 7%
新規
新規
2026/10/14
2.0％以下
5%
2.1%
5%
2.2%
7%
2.3%
22%
2.4%
40%
2.5%
24%
2.6%
7%
2.7%
6%
2.8％
5%
2.9％以上
4%
2.4% 40%
2.5% 24%
2.3% 22%
2.2% 7%
新規
新規
2026/10/14
2.0％以下
$142 Vol.
5%
2.1%
$142 Vol.
5%
2.2%
$162 Vol.
7%
2.3%
$453 Vol.
22%
2.4%
$1,185 Vol.
40%
2.5%
$268 Vol.
24%
2.6%
$282 Vol.
7%
2.7%
$182 Vol.
6%
2.8％
$142 Vol.
5%
2.9％以上
$349 Vol.
4%
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August 2026 Core CPI data, which printed at 2.4% year-over-year after a 2.5% July reading, combined with Cleveland Fed nowcasts near 2.39% for September, has concentrated market-implied odds on the 2.4% outcome. The firmer 0.3% monthly core pace surprised to the upside versus 0.2% expectations, reflecting persistent services and shelter components that offset softer goods prices. Traders are weighing continued disinflationary trends in housing against upside risks from energy spillovers and labor-market resilience, with the September BLS release due in mid-October serving as the next key catalyst. This distribution reflects aggregated positioning ahead of potential FOMC policy implications.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
マーケット開始日： Sep 11, 2026, 11:29 AM ET
音量
$3,308終了日
2026/10/15マーケット開始日
Sep 11, 2026, 11:29 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August 2026 Core CPI data, which printed at 2.4% year-over-year after a 2.5% July reading, combined with Cleveland Fed nowcasts near 2.39% for September, has concentrated market-implied odds on the 2.4% outcome. The firmer 0.3% monthly core pace surprised to the upside versus 0.2% expectations, reflecting persistent services and shelter components that offset softer goods prices. Traders are weighing continued disinflationary trends in housing against upside risks from energy spillovers and labor-market resilience, with the September BLS release due in mid-October serving as the next key catalyst. This distribution reflects aggregated positioning ahead of potential FOMC policy implications.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
音量
$3,308終了日
2026/10/15マーケット開始日
Sep 11, 2026, 11:29 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent August 2026 Core CPI data, which printed at 2.4% year-over-year after a 2.5% July reading, combined with Cleveland Fed nowcasts near 2.39% for September, has concentrated market-implied odds on the 2.4% outcome. The firmer 0.3% monthly core pace surprised to the upside versus 0.2% expectations, reflecting persistent services and shelter components that offset softer goods prices. Traders are weighing continued disinflationary trends in housing against upside risks from energy spillovers and labor-market resilience, with the September BLS release due in mid-October serving as the next key catalyst. This distribution reflects aggregated positioning ahead of potential FOMC policy implications.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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