Recent August Core CPI data, which rose 0.3% month-over-month against 0.2% expectations amid firm services and shelter costs plus energy spillover, anchors trader focus for the September reading. This hotter-than-anticipated print has lifted near-term rate-hike odds ahead of the September FOMC meeting while highlighting sticky components that could sustain sequential pressures. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 0.2% and 0.3% MoM, reflecting uncertainty over whether the August rebound marks a pause in disinflation or a temporary spike tied to volatile categories. Key swing factors include upcoming shelter and goods data releases, alongside any further geopolitical effects on energy. The closely matched odds underscore how modest shifts in these inputs could tip consensus before the mid-October release.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日0.2% 27%
0.3% 25%
0.1% 19%
0.4% 17%
新規
新規
2026/10/14
0.0％以下
10%
0.1%
19%
0.2%
27%
0.3%
25%
0.4%
17%
0.5%
5%
0.6％以上
9%
0.2% 27%
0.3% 25%
0.1% 19%
0.4% 17%
新規
新規
2026/10/14
0.0％以下
$0 Vol.
10%
0.1%
$16 Vol.
19%
0.2%
$27 Vol.
27%
0.3%
$20 Vol.
25%
0.4%
$0 Vol.
17%
0.5%
$63 Vol.
5%
0.6％以上
$107 Vol.
9%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in September 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August Core CPI data, which rose 0.3% month-over-month against 0.2% expectations amid firm services and shelter costs plus energy spillover, anchors trader focus for the September reading. This hotter-than-anticipated print has lifted near-term rate-hike odds ahead of the September FOMC meeting while highlighting sticky components that could sustain sequential pressures. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 0.2% and 0.3% MoM, reflecting uncertainty over whether the August rebound marks a pause in disinflation or a temporary spike tied to volatile categories. Key swing factors include upcoming shelter and goods data releases, alongside any further geopolitical effects on energy. The closely matched odds underscore how modest shifts in these inputs could tip consensus before the mid-October release.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in September 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
マーケット開始日： Sep 11, 2026, 11:28 AM ET
音量
$233終了日
2026/10/15マーケット開始日
Sep 11, 2026, 11:28 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in September 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August Core CPI data, which rose 0.3% month-over-month against 0.2% expectations amid firm services and shelter costs plus energy spillover, anchors trader focus for the September reading. This hotter-than-anticipated print has lifted near-term rate-hike odds ahead of the September FOMC meeting while highlighting sticky components that could sustain sequential pressures. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 0.2% and 0.3% MoM, reflecting uncertainty over whether the August rebound marks a pause in disinflation or a temporary spike tied to volatile categories. Key swing factors include upcoming shelter and goods data releases, alongside any further geopolitical effects on energy. The closely matched odds underscore how modest shifts in these inputs could tip consensus before the mid-October release.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in September 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
音量
$233終了日
2026/10/15マーケット開始日
Sep 11, 2026, 11:28 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent August Core CPI data, which rose 0.3% month-over-month against 0.2% expectations amid firm services and shelter costs plus energy spillover, anchors trader focus for the September reading. This hotter-than-anticipated print has lifted near-term rate-hike odds ahead of the September FOMC meeting while highlighting sticky components that could sustain sequential pressures. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 0.2% and 0.3% MoM, reflecting uncertainty over whether the August rebound marks a pause in disinflation or a temporary spike tied to volatile categories. Key swing factors include upcoming shelter and goods data releases, alongside any further geopolitical effects on energy. The closely matched odds underscore how modest shifts in these inputs could tip consensus before the mid-October release.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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