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icon for 9月の30年国債利回りはどのくらい低くなりますか?

9月の30年国債利回りはどのくらい低くなりますか?

icon for 9月の30年国債利回りはどのくらい低くなりますか?

9月の30年国債利回りはどのくらい低くなりますか?

$24,118 Vol.

2026/09/30
Polymarket

$24,118 Vol.

Polymarket

5.24%未満

$3,033 Vol.

29%

5.21%未満

$5,602 Vol.

7%

5.18%未満

$939 Vol.

5%

5.15%未満

$3,793 Vol.

6%

5.12%未満

$4,188 Vol.

4%

5.09%未満

$1,418 Vol.

2%

5.05%未満

$2,281 Vol.

3%

5.00%未満

$1,244 Vol.

3%

4.95%未満

$1,620 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).The Federal Reserve's September 16 decision to raise its policy rate by 25 basis points to a 3.75-4% target range, citing persistently elevated inflation and signaling further tightening likely this year, has anchored trader focus on the 30-year Treasury yield. Recent data show the yield trading near 5.33-5.35% as of September 17, after climbing from early-month levels around 5.23-5.27 amid hotter inflation prints, geopolitical energy price pressures, and a resilient labor market. Elevated term premia, heavy Treasury supply, and fiscal deficit concerns have contributed to higher real yields and a wider risk premium on long-duration bonds. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming releases on jobless claims, housing starts, and industrial production, alongside market assessment of whether the post-hike repricing sustains or eases.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
音量
$24,118
終了日
2026/09/30
マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).The Federal Reserve's September 16 decision to raise its policy rate by 25 basis points to a 3.75-4% target range, citing persistently elevated inflation and signaling further tightening likely this year, has anchored trader focus on the 30-year Treasury yield. Recent data show the yield trading near 5.33-5.35% as of September 17, after climbing from early-month levels around 5.23-5.27 amid hotter inflation prints, geopolitical energy price pressures, and a resilient labor market. Elevated term premia, heavy Treasury supply, and fiscal deficit concerns have contributed to higher real yields and a wider risk premium on long-duration bonds. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming releases on jobless claims, housing starts, and industrial production, alongside market assessment of whether the post-hike repricing sustains or eases.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
音量
$24,118
終了日
2026/09/30
マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...

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よくある質問

「9月の30年国債利回りはどのくらい低くなりますか?」はPolymarket上の9個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「5.24%未満」で29%、次いで「5.21%未満」が7%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、29¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に29%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「9月の30年国債利回りはどのくらい低くなりますか?」は$24.1Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Sep 2, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「9月の30年国債利回りはどのくらい低くなりますか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている9個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「9月の30年国債利回りはどのくらい低くなりますか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「5.24%未満」で29%であり、市場がこの結果に29%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「5.21%未満」で7%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「9月の30年国債利回りはどのくらい低くなりますか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。