The Federal Reserve's September 16 decision to raise its policy rate by 25 basis points to a 3.75-4% target range, citing persistently elevated inflation and signaling further tightening likely this year, has anchored trader focus on the 30-year Treasury yield. Recent data show the yield trading near 5.33-5.35% as of September 17, after climbing from early-month levels around 5.23-5.27 amid hotter inflation prints, geopolitical energy price pressures, and a resilient labor market. Elevated term premia, heavy Treasury supply, and fiscal deficit concerns have contributed to higher real yields and a wider risk premium on long-duration bonds. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming releases on jobless claims, housing starts, and industrial production, alongside market assessment of whether the post-hike repricing sustains or eases.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$24,118 Vol.
5.24%未満
29%
5.21%未満
7%
5.18%未満
5%
5.15%未満
6%
5.12%未満
4%
5.09%未満
2%
5.05%未満
3%
5.00%未満
3%
4.95%未満
2%
$24,118 Vol.
5.24%未満
29%
5.21%未満
7%
5.18%未満
5%
5.15%未満
6%
5.12%未満
4%
5.09%未満
2%
5.05%未満
3%
5.00%未満
3%
4.95%未満
2%
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
マーケット開始日: Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
リゾルバー
0x65070BE91...The Federal Reserve's September 16 decision to raise its policy rate by 25 basis points to a 3.75-4% target range, citing persistently elevated inflation and signaling further tightening likely this year, has anchored trader focus on the 30-year Treasury yield. Recent data show the yield trading near 5.33-5.35% as of September 17, after climbing from early-month levels around 5.23-5.27 amid hotter inflation prints, geopolitical energy price pressures, and a resilient labor market. Elevated term premia, heavy Treasury supply, and fiscal deficit concerns have contributed to higher real yields and a wider risk premium on long-duration bonds. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming releases on jobless claims, housing starts, and industrial production, alongside market assessment of whether the post-hike repricing sustains or eases.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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