Jorginho Mello, the incumbent PL governor seeking reelection, maintains a dominant position in the Santa Catarina gubernatorial race due to consistent polling leads of 50% or higher in recent surveys from Quaest, Neokemp, and others, well ahead of João Rodrigues (PSD) and fragmented challengers including Marcelo Brigadeiro and Gelson Merisio. His advantages stem from a wide alliance encompassing PL, Novo (with vice candidate Adriano Silva), PSDB, and other parties, plus strong conservative support in the state and an active campaign emphasizing infrastructure projects and economic continuity ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Trader consensus at 96.7% aligns with these trends and historical incumbent strength, though a late scandal, health event, or sharp turnout shift among undecided voters could still alter the outcome before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJorginho Mello 96.7%
Marcelo Brigadeiro 1.4%
João Rodrigues 1.2%
Décio Lima <1%
$121,598 Vol.
$121,598 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Jorginho Mello
97%
Marcelo Brigadeiro
1%
João Rodrigues
1%
Décio Lima
<1%
Afrânio Boppré
<1%
Marcos Vieira
<1%
Adriano Silva
<1%
Gelson Merisio
<1%
Jorginho Mello 96.7%
Marcelo Brigadeiro 1.4%
João Rodrigues 1.2%
Décio Lima <1%
$121,598 Vol.
$121,598 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Jorginho Mello
$30,618 Vol.
97%
Marcelo Brigadeiro
$15,881 Vol.
1%
João Rodrigues
$2,907 Vol.
1%
Décio Lima
$64,042 Vol.
<1%
Afrânio Boppré
$2,282 Vol.
<1%
Marcos Vieira
$1,985 Vol.
<1%
Adriano Silva
$1,775 Vol.
<1%
Gelson Merisio
$2,107 Vol.
<1%
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jorginho Mello, the incumbent PL governor seeking reelection, maintains a dominant position in the Santa Catarina gubernatorial race due to consistent polling leads of 50% or higher in recent surveys from Quaest, Neokemp, and others, well ahead of João Rodrigues (PSD) and fragmented challengers including Marcelo Brigadeiro and Gelson Merisio. His advantages stem from a wide alliance encompassing PL, Novo (with vice candidate Adriano Silva), PSDB, and other parties, plus strong conservative support in the state and an active campaign emphasizing infrastructure projects and economic continuity ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Trader consensus at 96.7% aligns with these trends and historical incumbent strength, though a late scandal, health event, or sharp turnout shift among undecided voters could still alter the outcome before election day.
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET
Volume
$121,598End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jorginho Mello, the incumbent PL governor seeking reelection, maintains a dominant position in the Santa Catarina gubernatorial race due to consistent polling leads of 50% or higher in recent surveys from Quaest, Neokemp, and others, well ahead of João Rodrigues (PSD) and fragmented challengers including Marcelo Brigadeiro and Gelson Merisio. His advantages stem from a wide alliance encompassing PL, Novo (with vice candidate Adriano Silva), PSDB, and other parties, plus strong conservative support in the state and an active campaign emphasizing infrastructure projects and economic continuity ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Trader consensus at 96.7% aligns with these trends and historical incumbent strength, though a late scandal, health event, or sharp turnout shift among undecided voters could still alter the outcome before election day.
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$121,598End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Jorginho Mello, the incumbent PL governor seeking reelection, maintains a dominant position in the Santa Catarina gubernatorial race due to consistent polling leads of 50% or higher in recent surveys from Quaest, Neokemp, and others, well ahead of João Rodrigues (PSD) and fragmented challengers including Marcelo Brigadeiro and Gelson Merisio. His advantages stem from a wide alliance encompassing PL, Novo (with vice candidate Adriano Silva), PSDB, and other parties, plus strong conservative support in the state and an active campaign emphasizing infrastructure projects and economic continuity ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Trader consensus at 96.7% aligns with these trends and historical incumbent strength, though a late scandal, health event, or sharp turnout shift among undecided voters could still alter the outcome before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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