Recent polling from late August and early September shows Cid Gomes (PSB) leading consolidated intentions for Ceará’s two Senate seats, leaving a tight contest for second place among Capitão Wagner (União), Luizianne Lins (Rede), and to a lesser extent Alcides Fernandes (PL). Multiple surveys place Wagner and Luizianne within or near the margin of error, reflecting split-ticket voting patterns and large undecided shares that keep second-vote preferences fluid. Luizianne benefits from alignment with the Elmano de Freitas ticket, while Wagner draws opposition support; both trail Cid but remain competitive ahead of the October 4 election. The structure of voters selecting two names sustains the narrow gap, with limited recent alliance shifts to produce clearer separation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLuizianne 42%
Capitão Wagner 36%
Cid Gomes 20%
Alcides Fernandes 1.6%
$36,439 Vol.
$36,439 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Luizianne
42%
Capitão Wagner
36%
Cid Gomes
20%
Alcides Fernandes
2%
Lino Alves
1%
Guilherme Theophilo
<1%
Catarina Matos
<1%
Reginaldo
<1%
Luizianne 42%
Capitão Wagner 36%
Cid Gomes 20%
Alcides Fernandes 1.6%
$36,439 Vol.
$36,439 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Luizianne
$11,611 Vol.
42%
Capitão Wagner
$14,298 Vol.
36%
Cid Gomes
$4,900 Vol.
20%
Alcides Fernandes
$1,095 Vol.
2%
Lino Alves
$942 Vol.
1%
Guilherme Theophilo
$820 Vol.
<1%
Catarina Matos
$1,538 Vol.
<1%
Reginaldo
$1,234 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from late August and early September shows Cid Gomes (PSB) leading consolidated intentions for Ceará’s two Senate seats, leaving a tight contest for second place among Capitão Wagner (União), Luizianne Lins (Rede), and to a lesser extent Alcides Fernandes (PL). Multiple surveys place Wagner and Luizianne within or near the margin of error, reflecting split-ticket voting patterns and large undecided shares that keep second-vote preferences fluid. Luizianne benefits from alignment with the Elmano de Freitas ticket, while Wagner draws opposition support; both trail Cid but remain competitive ahead of the October 4 election. The structure of voters selecting two names sustains the narrow gap, with limited recent alliance shifts to produce clearer separation.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ET
Volume
$36,439End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from late August and early September shows Cid Gomes (PSB) leading consolidated intentions for Ceará’s two Senate seats, leaving a tight contest for second place among Capitão Wagner (União), Luizianne Lins (Rede), and to a lesser extent Alcides Fernandes (PL). Multiple surveys place Wagner and Luizianne within or near the margin of error, reflecting split-ticket voting patterns and large undecided shares that keep second-vote preferences fluid. Luizianne benefits from alignment with the Elmano de Freitas ticket, while Wagner draws opposition support; both trail Cid but remain competitive ahead of the October 4 election. The structure of voters selecting two names sustains the narrow gap, with limited recent alliance shifts to produce clearer separation.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$36,439End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from late August and early September shows Cid Gomes (PSB) leading consolidated intentions for Ceará’s two Senate seats, leaving a tight contest for second place among Capitão Wagner (União), Luizianne Lins (Rede), and to a lesser extent Alcides Fernandes (PL). Multiple surveys place Wagner and Luizianne within or near the margin of error, reflecting split-ticket voting patterns and large undecided shares that keep second-vote preferences fluid. Luizianne benefits from alignment with the Elmano de Freitas ticket, while Wagner draws opposition support; both trail Cid but remain competitive ahead of the October 4 election. The structure of voters selecting two names sustains the narrow gap, with limited recent alliance shifts to produce clearer separation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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