The Acre Senate race features a tight contest for the second of two seats, with voters selecting two candidates in the October 4 election and recent polls showing Gladson Cameli, Márcio Bittar, Jorge Viana, and Mara Rocha clustered within a narrow range of support. This dynamic sustains elevated implied probabilities for multiple contenders to finish second, as modest shifts in turnout or preference among overlapping voter bases could reorder the middle of the pack. Incumbents Bittar and Petecão seek re-election alongside former governor Cameli and ex-senator Viana, while Rocha draws from aligned coalitions; the absence of decisive late-campaign momentum or major endorsements has preserved the even distribution reflected in current trader consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMarcio Bittar 42.8%
Mara Rocha 35%
Gladson Camelí 10%
Jorge Viana 9.5%
$36,092 Vol.
$36,092 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Marcio Bittar
43%
Mara Rocha
35%
Gladson Camelí
10%
Jorge Viana
10%
Petecão
1%
Dr. Junior Feitosa
<1%
Eduardo Velloso
<1%
Professor Inacio Moreira
<1%
Marcio Bittar 42.8%
Mara Rocha 35%
Gladson Camelí 10%
Jorge Viana 9.5%
$36,092 Vol.
$36,092 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Marcio Bittar
$7,068 Vol.
43%
Mara Rocha
$13,243 Vol.
35%
Gladson Camelí
$10,685 Vol.
10%
Jorge Viana
$1,181 Vol.
10%
Petecão
$1,775 Vol.
1%
Dr. Junior Feitosa
$776 Vol.
<1%
Eduardo Velloso
$696 Vol.
<1%
Professor Inacio Moreira
$668 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Acre Senate race features a tight contest for the second of two seats, with voters selecting two candidates in the October 4 election and recent polls showing Gladson Cameli, Márcio Bittar, Jorge Viana, and Mara Rocha clustered within a narrow range of support. This dynamic sustains elevated implied probabilities for multiple contenders to finish second, as modest shifts in turnout or preference among overlapping voter bases could reorder the middle of the pack. Incumbents Bittar and Petecão seek re-election alongside former governor Cameli and ex-senator Viana, while Rocha draws from aligned coalitions; the absence of decisive late-campaign momentum or major endorsements has preserved the even distribution reflected in current trader consensus.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:48 AM ET
Volume
$36,092End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:48 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Acre Senate race features a tight contest for the second of two seats, with voters selecting two candidates in the October 4 election and recent polls showing Gladson Cameli, Márcio Bittar, Jorge Viana, and Mara Rocha clustered within a narrow range of support. This dynamic sustains elevated implied probabilities for multiple contenders to finish second, as modest shifts in turnout or preference among overlapping voter bases could reorder the middle of the pack. Incumbents Bittar and Petecão seek re-election alongside former governor Cameli and ex-senator Viana, while Rocha draws from aligned coalitions; the absence of decisive late-campaign momentum or major endorsements has preserved the even distribution reflected in current trader consensus.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$36,092End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:48 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Acre Senate race features a tight contest for the second of two seats, with voters selecting two candidates in the October 4 election and recent polls showing Gladson Cameli, Márcio Bittar, Jorge Viana, and Mara Rocha clustered within a narrow range of support. This dynamic sustains elevated implied probabilities for multiple contenders to finish second, as modest shifts in turnout or preference among overlapping voter bases could reorder the middle of the pack. Incumbents Bittar and Petecão seek re-election alongside former governor Cameli and ex-senator Viana, while Rocha draws from aligned coalitions; the absence of decisive late-campaign momentum or major endorsements has preserved the even distribution reflected in current trader consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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