**Brad Knott's position as the Republican incumbent in a solidly Republican district underpins the strong trader consensus favoring him in the November 2026 general election.** North Carolina's 13th district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index around R+8 following mid-decade redistricting, with Donald Trump carrying it by roughly 7.5 points in 2024. Knott secured the GOP nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 90% of the vote, while Democrat Paul Barringer prevailed in his primary at 59%. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, citing the district's partisan composition, Knott's established fundraising edge, and the absence of major recent developments that would shift the balance. Minor-party candidates on the ballot have negligible impact on the two-party contest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-02
布拉德·诺特（共和党）
84%
保罗·巴林格（民主党）
16%
最新
最新
2026-11-02
布拉德·诺特（共和党）
$4,317 交易量
84%
保罗·巴林格（民主党）
$5,314 交易量
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Brad Knott's position as the Republican incumbent in a solidly Republican district underpins the strong trader consensus favoring him in the November 2026 general election.** North Carolina's 13th district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index around R+8 following mid-decade redistricting, with Donald Trump carrying it by roughly 7.5 points in 2024. Knott secured the GOP nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 90% of the vote, while Democrat Paul Barringer prevailed in his primary at 59%. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, citing the district's partisan composition, Knott's established fundraising edge, and the absence of major recent developments that would shift the balance. Minor-party candidates on the ballot have negligible impact on the two-party contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$9,631结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Brad Knott's position as the Republican incumbent in a solidly Republican district underpins the strong trader consensus favoring him in the November 2026 general election.** North Carolina's 13th district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index around R+8 following mid-decade redistricting, with Donald Trump carrying it by roughly 7.5 points in 2024. Knott secured the GOP nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 90% of the vote, while Democrat Paul Barringer prevailed in his primary at 59%. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, citing the district's partisan composition, Knott's established fundraising edge, and the absence of major recent developments that would shift the balance. Minor-party candidates on the ballot have negligible impact on the two-party contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$9,631结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET**Brad Knott's position as the Republican incumbent in a solidly Republican district underpins the strong trader consensus favoring him in the November 2026 general election.** North Carolina's 13th district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index around R+8 following mid-decade redistricting, with Donald Trump carrying it by roughly 7.5 points in 2024. Knott secured the GOP nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 90% of the vote, while Democrat Paul Barringer prevailed in his primary at 59%. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, citing the district's partisan composition, Knott's established fundraising edge, and the absence of major recent developments that would shift the balance. Minor-party candidates on the ballot have negligible impact on the two-party contest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题