Recent forecasts for August 2026 headline CPI center on a modest rebound to 0.3–0.4% month-over-month, reflecting higher gasoline and food prices after July’s softer 0.1% print, alongside firm shelter and services components. Core measures are projected near 0.2%, supported by contained goods inflation and easing prior volatility. These dynamics underpin the 51.5% and 35.5% implied probabilities for the 0.4% and 0.3% outcomes, respectively, as aggregated trader sentiment prices in the data’s alignment with consensus estimates. The September 11 release, timed ahead of the FOMC meeting, remains the key near-term catalyst shaping final positioning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado0,4% 52%
0,3% 36%
≥0,5% 13%
0,2% 3.6%
$60,544 Vol.
$60,544 Vol.
≤-0,3%
<1%
-0,2%
<1%
-0,1%
<1%
0,0%
<1%
0,1%
<1%
0,2%
4%
0,3%
36%
0,4%
52%
≥0,5%
13%
0,4% 52%
0,3% 36%
≥0,5% 13%
0,2% 3.6%
$60,544 Vol.
$60,544 Vol.
≤-0,3%
<1%
-0,2%
<1%
-0,1%
<1%
0,0%
<1%
0,1%
<1%
0,2%
4%
0,3%
36%
0,4%
52%
≥0,5%
13%
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for August 2026 headline CPI center on a modest rebound to 0.3–0.4% month-over-month, reflecting higher gasoline and food prices after July’s softer 0.1% print, alongside firm shelter and services components. Core measures are projected near 0.2%, supported by contained goods inflation and easing prior volatility. These dynamics underpin the 51.5% and 35.5% implied probabilities for the 0.4% and 0.3% outcomes, respectively, as aggregated trader sentiment prices in the data’s alignment with consensus estimates. The September 11 release, timed ahead of the FOMC meeting, remains the key near-term catalyst shaping final positioning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



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