**The August 2026 Producer Price Index release, showing a 5.4% year-over-year increase in final demand prices, underpins the overwhelming market consensus for a 5.1%+ reading.** The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported a 0.4% monthly advance—driven primarily by a 1.1% jump in goods prices, with final demand energy surging 4.2% (including a 24.1% spike in diesel fuel amid renewed geopolitical tensions pushing oil higher). This accelerated from July’s 4.8% annual rate and slightly exceeded the 5.3% consensus. Core measures also rose, with the index excluding food and energy advancing 4.6% year-over-year. Trader positioning in prediction markets aggregates real-capital assessments of these verified figures from authoritative sources like the BLS, pricing in the observed acceleration rather than forward estimates. A material downward revision to the initial print or an unexpected reversal in energy costs ahead of final settlement could theoretically alter outcomes, though the data’s clarity leaves little room for such shifts before the September report on October 15.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado5,1%+ 100.0%
≤4,2% <1%
4,3% <1%
4,4% <1%
$28,124 Vol.
$28,124 Vol.
≤4,2%
<1%
4,3%
<1%
4,4%
<1%
4,5%
<1%
4,6%
<1%
4,7%
<1%
4,8%
<1%
4,9%
<1%
5,0%
<1%
5,1%+
100%
5,1%+ 100.0%
≤4,2% <1%
4,3% <1%
4,4% <1%
$28,124 Vol.
$28,124 Vol.
≤4,2%
<1%
4,3%
<1%
4,4%
<1%
4,5%
<1%
4,6%
<1%
4,7%
<1%
4,8%
<1%
4,9%
<1%
5,0%
<1%
5,1%+
100%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.bls.gov/ppi/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.bls.gov/ppi/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**The August 2026 Producer Price Index release, showing a 5.4% year-over-year increase in final demand prices, underpins the overwhelming market consensus for a 5.1%+ reading.** The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported a 0.4% monthly advance—driven primarily by a 1.1% jump in goods prices, with final demand energy surging 4.2% (including a 24.1% spike in diesel fuel amid renewed geopolitical tensions pushing oil higher). This accelerated from July’s 4.8% annual rate and slightly exceeded the 5.3% consensus. Core measures also rose, with the index excluding food and energy advancing 4.6% year-over-year. Trader positioning in prediction markets aggregates real-capital assessments of these verified figures from authoritative sources like the BLS, pricing in the observed acceleration rather than forward estimates. A material downward revision to the initial print or an unexpected reversal in energy costs ahead of final settlement could theoretically alter outcomes, though the data’s clarity leaves little room for such shifts before the September report on October 15.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions