Recent energy price volatility from the Middle East conflict has kept Canada’s headline CPI near 3.0% year-over-year through July 2026, lifting near-term readings above the Bank of Canada’s earlier projections while core measures remain anchored around 2%. The central bank’s July Monetary Policy Report anticipates inflation easing to roughly 2.5% over the second half of the year as gasoline costs moderate, supported by subdued shelter and services pressures amid sub-par economic growth and a 2.25% policy rate. Trader positioning reflects this balance, with closely matched implied probabilities for the 2.5–2.9% and 3.0–3.4% annual outcomes driven by uncertainty over whether energy effects will spill into broader prices or tariffs will add further upside. Key near-term catalysts include the September CPI release and ongoing geopolitical developments that could shift the year-end trajectory.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoInflação Anual do Canadá 2026
Inflação Anual do Canadá 2026
2,5–2,9% 35.4%
3,0-3,4% 35.1%
3,5-3,9% 15.2%
2,0–2,4% 12.4%
$41,917 Vol.
$41,917 Vol.
17 jan 2027
<1,0%
1%
1,0–1,4%
3%
1,5–1,9%
2%
2,0–2,4%
12%
2,5–2,9%
35%
3,0-3,4%
35%
3,5-3,9%
15%
4,0%+
3%
2,5–2,9% 35.4%
3,0-3,4% 35.1%
3,5-3,9% 15.2%
2,0–2,4% 12.4%
$41,917 Vol.
$41,917 Vol.
17 jan 2027
<1,0%
$1,220 Vol.
1%
1,0–1,4%
$5,465 Vol.
3%
1,5–1,9%
$3,466 Vol.
2%
2,0–2,4%
$2,555 Vol.
12%
2,5–2,9%
$10,211 Vol.
35%
3,0-3,4%
$14,248 Vol.
35%
3,5-3,9%
$4,214 Vol.
15%
4,0%+
$539 Vol.
3%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Recent energy price volatility from the Middle East conflict has kept Canada’s headline CPI near 3.0% year-over-year through July 2026, lifting near-term readings above the Bank of Canada’s earlier projections while core measures remain anchored around 2%. The central bank’s July Monetary Policy Report anticipates inflation easing to roughly 2.5% over the second half of the year as gasoline costs moderate, supported by subdued shelter and services pressures amid sub-par economic growth and a 2.25% policy rate. Trader positioning reflects this balance, with closely matched implied probabilities for the 2.5–2.9% and 3.0–3.4% annual outcomes driven by uncertainty over whether energy effects will spill into broader prices or tariffs will add further upside. Key near-term catalysts include the September CPI release and ongoing geopolitical developments that could shift the year-end trajectory.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Mercado Aberto: Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
Volume
$41,917Data de Término
18 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Recent energy price volatility from the Middle East conflict has kept Canada’s headline CPI near 3.0% year-over-year through July 2026, lifting near-term readings above the Bank of Canada’s earlier projections while core measures remain anchored around 2%. The central bank’s July Monetary Policy Report anticipates inflation easing to roughly 2.5% over the second half of the year as gasoline costs moderate, supported by subdued shelter and services pressures amid sub-par economic growth and a 2.25% policy rate. Trader positioning reflects this balance, with closely matched implied probabilities for the 2.5–2.9% and 3.0–3.4% annual outcomes driven by uncertainty over whether energy effects will spill into broader prices or tariffs will add further upside. Key near-term catalysts include the September CPI release and ongoing geopolitical developments that could shift the year-end trajectory.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Volume
$41,917Data de Término
18 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent energy price volatility from the Middle East conflict has kept Canada’s headline CPI near 3.0% year-over-year through July 2026, lifting near-term readings above the Bank of Canada’s earlier projections while core measures remain anchored around 2%. The central bank’s July Monetary Policy Report anticipates inflation easing to roughly 2.5% over the second half of the year as gasoline costs moderate, supported by subdued shelter and services pressures amid sub-par economic growth and a 2.25% policy rate. Trader positioning reflects this balance, with closely matched implied probabilities for the 2.5–2.9% and 3.0–3.4% annual outcomes driven by uncertainty over whether energy effects will spill into broader prices or tariffs will add further upside. Key near-term catalysts include the September CPI release and ongoing geopolitical developments that could shift the year-end trajectory.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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