Recent Eurozone inflation data and ECB staff projections underpin the 81.3% market-implied odds on 3.1%+ annual HICP inflation for 2026. The primary driver remains the Middle East conflict’s impact on energy prices, which pushed the August 2026 flash reading to 3.3% year-over-year, with energy inflation at 14.3%. September 2026 ECB projections hold the 2026 headline forecast steady at 3.0%, citing sustained energy pass-through into the fourth quarter, while noting upside risks from prolonged volatility and limited second-round effects so far. Traders appear to price in a higher realized annual average than the baseline, given the recent acceleration and the deposit rate’s second 25-basis-point hike this year to 2.5%. Core measures excluding energy and food remain near 2.5%, supporting expectations that the headline overshoot will persist through year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoInflação Anual da Zona Euro 2026
Inflação Anual da Zona Euro 2026
3,1%+ 81.3%
2,8-3,0% 8.4%
1,0–1,2% 2.6%
2,5–2,7% 1.9%
$112,539 Vol.
$112,539 Vol.
18 jan 2027
<1,0%
<1%
1,0–1,2%
3%
1,3–1,5%
<1%
1,6–1,8%
1%
1,9–2,1%
1%
2,2–2,4%
1%
2,5–2,7%
2%
2,8-3,0%
8%
3,1%+
81%
3,1%+ 81.3%
2,8-3,0% 8.4%
1,0–1,2% 2.6%
2,5–2,7% 1.9%
$112,539 Vol.
$112,539 Vol.
18 jan 2027
<1,0%
$5,110 Vol.
<1%
1,0–1,2%
$16,434 Vol.
3%
1,3–1,5%
$16,398 Vol.
<1%
1,6–1,8%
$3,572 Vol.
1%
1,9–2,1%
$26,053 Vol.
1%
2,2–2,4%
$5,261 Vol.
1%
2,5–2,7%
$7,894 Vol.
2%
2,8-3,0%
$17,130 Vol.
8%
3,1%+
$14,687 Vol.
81%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlRecent Eurozone inflation data and ECB staff projections underpin the 81.3% market-implied odds on 3.1%+ annual HICP inflation for 2026. The primary driver remains the Middle East conflict’s impact on energy prices, which pushed the August 2026 flash reading to 3.3% year-over-year, with energy inflation at 14.3%. September 2026 ECB projections hold the 2026 headline forecast steady at 3.0%, citing sustained energy pass-through into the fourth quarter, while noting upside risks from prolonged volatility and limited second-round effects so far. Traders appear to price in a higher realized annual average than the baseline, given the recent acceleration and the deposit rate’s second 25-basis-point hike this year to 2.5%. Core measures excluding energy and food remain near 2.5%, supporting expectations that the headline overshoot will persist through year-end.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
Mercado Aberto: Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Volume
$112,539Data de Término
19 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlRecent Eurozone inflation data and ECB staff projections underpin the 81.3% market-implied odds on 3.1%+ annual HICP inflation for 2026. The primary driver remains the Middle East conflict’s impact on energy prices, which pushed the August 2026 flash reading to 3.3% year-over-year, with energy inflation at 14.3%. September 2026 ECB projections hold the 2026 headline forecast steady at 3.0%, citing sustained energy pass-through into the fourth quarter, while noting upside risks from prolonged volatility and limited second-round effects so far. Traders appear to price in a higher realized annual average than the baseline, given the recent acceleration and the deposit rate’s second 25-basis-point hike this year to 2.5%. Core measures excluding energy and food remain near 2.5%, supporting expectations that the headline overshoot will persist through year-end.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
Volume
$112,539Data de Término
19 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent Eurozone inflation data and ECB staff projections underpin the 81.3% market-implied odds on 3.1%+ annual HICP inflation for 2026. The primary driver remains the Middle East conflict’s impact on energy prices, which pushed the August 2026 flash reading to 3.3% year-over-year, with energy inflation at 14.3%. September 2026 ECB projections hold the 2026 headline forecast steady at 3.0%, citing sustained energy pass-through into the fourth quarter, while noting upside risks from prolonged volatility and limited second-round effects so far. Traders appear to price in a higher realized annual average than the baseline, given the recent acceleration and the deposit rate’s second 25-basis-point hike this year to 2.5%. Core measures excluding energy and food remain near 2.5%, supporting expectations that the headline overshoot will persist through year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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