Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 66% implied probability to a 0.2% August 2026 core CPI month-over-month reading, reflecting the Bloomberg economist median forecast and recent data trends. July’s 0.2% core increase followed a flat June print, with shelter and services components providing the main support while core goods showed mixed tariff-related effects. Analysts at TD Securities and Pantheon project similar outcomes near 0.19–0.24%, citing softening goods prices offset by firmer services and shelter. The September 11 release arrives one day before the FOMC meeting, where policymakers have signaled focus on whether underlying inflation continues moderating toward the 2% target amid elevated energy and AI-related pressures. A 0.3% outcome holds a 27.5% probability if services reaccelerate.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado0,2% 67%
0,3% 27%
0,1% 6%
0,4% 2.5%
$32,242 Vol.
$32,242 Vol.
10 set 2026
≤0,0%
1%
0,1%
6%
0,2%
67%
0,3%
27%
0,4%
2%
0,5%
<1%
0,6%+
1%
0,2% 67%
0,3% 27%
0,1% 6%
0,4% 2.5%
$32,242 Vol.
$32,242 Vol.
10 set 2026
≤0,0%
$3,411 Vol.
1%
0,1%
$4,668 Vol.
6%
0,2%
$10,979 Vol.
67%
0,3%
$8,052 Vol.
27%
0,4%
$2,951 Vol.
2%
0,5%
$1,218 Vol.
<1%
0,6%+
$962 Vol.
1%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in August 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 66% implied probability to a 0.2% August 2026 core CPI month-over-month reading, reflecting the Bloomberg economist median forecast and recent data trends. July’s 0.2% core increase followed a flat June print, with shelter and services components providing the main support while core goods showed mixed tariff-related effects. Analysts at TD Securities and Pantheon project similar outcomes near 0.19–0.24%, citing softening goods prices offset by firmer services and shelter. The September 11 release arrives one day before the FOMC meeting, where policymakers have signaled focus on whether underlying inflation continues moderating toward the 2% target amid elevated energy and AI-related pressures. A 0.3% outcome holds a 27.5% probability if services reaccelerate.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in August 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 12, 2026, 10:16 AM ET
Volume
$32,242Data de Término
11 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 12, 2026, 10:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in August 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 66% implied probability to a 0.2% August 2026 core CPI month-over-month reading, reflecting the Bloomberg economist median forecast and recent data trends. July’s 0.2% core increase followed a flat June print, with shelter and services components providing the main support while core goods showed mixed tariff-related effects. Analysts at TD Securities and Pantheon project similar outcomes near 0.19–0.24%, citing softening goods prices offset by firmer services and shelter. The September 11 release arrives one day before the FOMC meeting, where policymakers have signaled focus on whether underlying inflation continues moderating toward the 2% target amid elevated energy and AI-related pressures. A 0.3% outcome holds a 27.5% probability if services reaccelerate.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in August 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$32,242Data de Término
11 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 12, 2026, 10:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 66% implied probability to a 0.2% August 2026 core CPI month-over-month reading, reflecting the Bloomberg economist median forecast and recent data trends. July’s 0.2% core increase followed a flat June print, with shelter and services components providing the main support while core goods showed mixed tariff-related effects. Analysts at TD Securities and Pantheon project similar outcomes near 0.19–0.24%, citing softening goods prices offset by firmer services and shelter. The September 11 release arrives one day before the FOMC meeting, where policymakers have signaled focus on whether underlying inflation continues moderating toward the 2% target amid elevated energy and AI-related pressures. A 0.3% outcome holds a 27.5% probability if services reaccelerate.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions