**August 2026 U.S. CPI data, scheduled for release on September 11, positions 3.4% as the leading market-implied outcome at 47.5% probability, followed by 3.3% at 31.5%.** July’s 3.4% year-over-year reading, down from 3.5% in June, established a base for modest further cooling amid easing prior energy spikes, though forecasts point to a 0.4% month-over-month increase driven by gasoline price rebounds and firmer food components. Persistent shelter costs, services inflation, and tariff/AI-related pressures on core goods continue to support readings near 3.3–3.4%, consistent with analyst consensus and recent consumer inflation expectations holding steady around 3.6% at the one-year horizon. These factors, combined with the labor market’s mixed signals, anchor trader sentiment around this narrow range ahead of the report.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado3,4% 48%
3,3% 32%
3,5% 15%
3,2% 6.5%
$91,536 Vol.
$91,536 Vol.
10 set 2026
≤2,9%
<1%
3,0%
1%
3,1%
1%
3,2%
6%
3,3%
32%
3,4%
48%
3,5%
15%
3,6%
2%
3,7%
<1%
3,8%
1%
3,9%
<1%
≥4,0%
<1%
3,4% 48%
3,3% 32%
3,5% 15%
3,2% 6.5%
$91,536 Vol.
$91,536 Vol.
10 set 2026
≤2,9%
$2,408 Vol.
<1%
3,0%
$2,344 Vol.
1%
3,1%
$2,293 Vol.
1%
3,2%
$3,392 Vol.
6%
3,3%
$18,730 Vol.
32%
3,4%
$33,108 Vol.
48%
3,5%
$13,885 Vol.
15%
3,6%
$3,498 Vol.
2%
3,7%
$2,496 Vol.
<1%
3,8%
$2,558 Vol.
1%
3,9%
$2,792 Vol.
<1%
≥4,0%
$4,032 Vol.
<1%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.**August 2026 U.S. CPI data, scheduled for release on September 11, positions 3.4% as the leading market-implied outcome at 47.5% probability, followed by 3.3% at 31.5%.** July’s 3.4% year-over-year reading, down from 3.5% in June, established a base for modest further cooling amid easing prior energy spikes, though forecasts point to a 0.4% month-over-month increase driven by gasoline price rebounds and firmer food components. Persistent shelter costs, services inflation, and tariff/AI-related pressures on core goods continue to support readings near 3.3–3.4%, consistent with analyst consensus and recent consumer inflation expectations holding steady around 3.6% at the one-year horizon. These factors, combined with the labor market’s mixed signals, anchor trader sentiment around this narrow range ahead of the report.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Volume
$91,536Data de Término
11 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.**August 2026 U.S. CPI data, scheduled for release on September 11, positions 3.4% as the leading market-implied outcome at 47.5% probability, followed by 3.3% at 31.5%.** July’s 3.4% year-over-year reading, down from 3.5% in June, established a base for modest further cooling amid easing prior energy spikes, though forecasts point to a 0.4% month-over-month increase driven by gasoline price rebounds and firmer food components. Persistent shelter costs, services inflation, and tariff/AI-related pressures on core goods continue to support readings near 3.3–3.4%, consistent with analyst consensus and recent consumer inflation expectations holding steady around 3.6% at the one-year horizon. These factors, combined with the labor market’s mixed signals, anchor trader sentiment around this narrow range ahead of the report.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$91,536Data de Término
11 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**August 2026 U.S. CPI data, scheduled for release on September 11, positions 3.4% as the leading market-implied outcome at 47.5% probability, followed by 3.3% at 31.5%.** July’s 3.4% year-over-year reading, down from 3.5% in June, established a base for modest further cooling amid easing prior energy spikes, though forecasts point to a 0.4% month-over-month increase driven by gasoline price rebounds and firmer food components. Persistent shelter costs, services inflation, and tariff/AI-related pressures on core goods continue to support readings near 3.3–3.4%, consistent with analyst consensus and recent consumer inflation expectations holding steady around 3.6% at the one-year horizon. These factors, combined with the labor market’s mixed signals, anchor trader sentiment around this narrow range ahead of the report.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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