Recent moderation in U.S. manufacturing momentum after the August ISM PMI printed at 54.6—down 1 point from July’s 55.6 and below the 55.2 consensus—anchors trader positioning for the September reading. New orders slowed sharply to 53.7 while production held near 58.3, employment eased to 51.2, and the prices index stayed elevated at 71.1 amid persistent tariff effects and Middle East supply-chain strains. These factors, combined with forecasts pointing to readings near 54, explain the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 54.0–55.9. Elevated input costs and slower order pipelines introduce downside risks, yet low customer inventories and ongoing expansion in production and exports could support stability near recent levels ahead of the October 1 release.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日55.0から55.9 21%
54.0から54.9 21%
53.0から53.9 20%
52.0から52.9 18%
新規
新規
2026/10/01
50.0未満
1%
50.0から50.9
1%
51.0から51.9
6%
52.0から52.9
17%
53.0から53.9
20%
54.0から54.9
21%
55.0から55.9
21%
56.0から56.9
8%
57.0から57.9
13%
58.0以上
4%
55.0から55.9 21%
54.0から54.9 21%
53.0から53.9 20%
52.0から52.9 18%
新規
新規
2026/10/01
50.0未満
$205 Vol.
1%
50.0から50.9
$982 Vol.
1%
51.0から51.9
$702 Vol.
6%
52.0から52.9
$141 Vol.
17%
53.0から53.9
$725 Vol.
20%
54.0から54.9
$2,093 Vol.
21%
55.0から55.9
$185 Vol.
21%
56.0から56.9
$78 Vol.
8%
57.0から57.9
$2,367 Vol.
13%
58.0以上
$214 Vol.
4%
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent moderation in U.S. manufacturing momentum after the August ISM PMI printed at 54.6—down 1 point from July’s 55.6 and below the 55.2 consensus—anchors trader positioning for the September reading. New orders slowed sharply to 53.7 while production held near 58.3, employment eased to 51.2, and the prices index stayed elevated at 71.1 amid persistent tariff effects and Middle East supply-chain strains. These factors, combined with forecasts pointing to readings near 54, explain the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 54.0–55.9. Elevated input costs and slower order pipelines introduce downside risks, yet low customer inventories and ongoing expansion in production and exports could support stability near recent levels ahead of the October 1 release.
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
マーケット開始日： Sep 1, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
音量
$7,692終了日
2026/10/01マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 6:22 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent moderation in U.S. manufacturing momentum after the August ISM PMI printed at 54.6—down 1 point from July’s 55.6 and below the 55.2 consensus—anchors trader positioning for the September reading. New orders slowed sharply to 53.7 while production held near 58.3, employment eased to 51.2, and the prices index stayed elevated at 71.1 amid persistent tariff effects and Middle East supply-chain strains. These factors, combined with forecasts pointing to readings near 54, explain the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 54.0–55.9. Elevated input costs and slower order pipelines introduce downside risks, yet low customer inventories and ongoing expansion in production and exports could support stability near recent levels ahead of the October 1 release.
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
音量
$7,692終了日
2026/10/01マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 6:22 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent moderation in U.S. manufacturing momentum after the August ISM PMI printed at 54.6—down 1 point from July’s 55.6 and below the 55.2 consensus—anchors trader positioning for the September reading. New orders slowed sharply to 53.7 while production held near 58.3, employment eased to 51.2, and the prices index stayed elevated at 71.1 amid persistent tariff effects and Middle East supply-chain strains. These factors, combined with forecasts pointing to readings near 54, explain the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 54.0–55.9. Elevated input costs and slower order pipelines introduce downside risks, yet low customer inventories and ongoing expansion in production and exports could support stability near recent levels ahead of the October 1 release.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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