Trader sentiment for the August 2026 Producer Price Index year-over-year figure shows overwhelming consensus for elevated readings, with an 84.5% implied probability concentrated on 5.1% or higher. This reflects recent resilience in labor costs, commodity price stability, and upstream input pressures that have limited disinflation momentum following the prior month's data. Market-implied odds price in only modest sequential moderation, aligning with broader inflation trends that remain above the Federal Reserve's target. With the release imminent, traders are monitoring incoming employment and retail sales figures for any last-minute shifts in expectations, though the current distribution leaves little scope for outcomes below 5.0% absent a sharp reversal in cost trends.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5.1%以上 87%
4.9% 8.5%
5.0% 8.5%
4.6% 4.8%
$21,038 Vol.
$21,038 Vol.
≤4.2%
1%
4.3%
1%
4.4%
1%
4.5%
8%
4.6%
5%
4.7%
4%
4.8%
4%
4.9%
8%
5.0%
8%
5.1%以上
85%
5.1%以上 87%
4.9% 8.5%
5.0% 8.5%
4.6% 4.8%
$21,038 Vol.
$21,038 Vol.
≤4.2%
1%
4.3%
1%
4.4%
1%
4.5%
8%
4.6%
5%
4.7%
4%
4.8%
4%
4.9%
8%
5.0%
8%
5.1%以上
85%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
マーケット開始日: Aug 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for the August 2026 Producer Price Index year-over-year figure shows overwhelming consensus for elevated readings, with an 84.5% implied probability concentrated on 5.1% or higher. This reflects recent resilience in labor costs, commodity price stability, and upstream input pressures that have limited disinflation momentum following the prior month's data. Market-implied odds price in only modest sequential moderation, aligning with broader inflation trends that remain above the Federal Reserve's target. With the release imminent, traders are monitoring incoming employment and retail sales figures for any last-minute shifts in expectations, though the current distribution leaves little scope for outcomes below 5.0% absent a sharp reversal in cost trends.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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