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icon for 9月の30年国債利回りはどのくらいになりますか?

9月の30年国債利回りはどのくらいになりますか?

icon for 9月の30年国債利回りはどのくらいになりますか?

9月の30年国債利回りはどのくらいになりますか?

$39,818 Vol.

2026/09/30
Polymarket

$39,818 Vol.

Polymarket

5.60%

$3,396 Vol.

2%

5.55%

$6,342 Vol.

2%

5.50%

$8,258 Vol.

4%

5.45%

$2,931 Vol.

4%

5.42%

$3,317 Vol.

14%

5.39%

$7,999 Vol.

23%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).The Federal Reserve’s unanimous 25-basis-point rate hike last week, coupled with dot-plot signals for additional tightening this year, has anchored trader focus on persistent inflation risks from elevated oil prices and geopolitical tensions, driving the 30-year Treasury yield to intra-month highs near 5.36% before easing to around 5.28-5.30% amid softer energy prices. Heavy Treasury issuance, fiscal deficit concerns, and resilient economic data have lifted term premia and reinforced expectations for higher-for-longer policy, pushing yields up roughly 50 basis points from early-September levels while the curve bear-flattened. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming CPI releases and the October FOMC meeting, which could shift market-implied odds if inflation or labor-market readings surprise.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
音量
$39,818
終了日
2026/09/30
マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).The Federal Reserve’s unanimous 25-basis-point rate hike last week, coupled with dot-plot signals for additional tightening this year, has anchored trader focus on persistent inflation risks from elevated oil prices and geopolitical tensions, driving the 30-year Treasury yield to intra-month highs near 5.36% before easing to around 5.28-5.30% amid softer energy prices. Heavy Treasury issuance, fiscal deficit concerns, and resilient economic data have lifted term premia and reinforced expectations for higher-for-longer policy, pushing yields up roughly 50 basis points from early-September levels while the curve bear-flattened. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming CPI releases and the October FOMC meeting, which could shift market-implied odds if inflation or labor-market readings surprise.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
音量
$39,818
終了日
2026/09/30
マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...

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よくある質問

「9月の30年国債利回りはどのくらいになりますか?」はPolymarket上の9個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「5.36%」で100%、次いで「5.33%」が100%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「9月の30年国債利回りはどのくらいになりますか?」は$39.8Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Sep 2, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「9月の30年国債利回りはどのくらいになりますか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている9個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「9月の30年国債利回りはどのくらいになりますか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「5.36%」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「5.33%」で100%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「9月の30年国債利回りはどのくらいになりますか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。