The Federal Reserve’s unanimous 25-basis-point rate hike last week, coupled with dot-plot signals for additional tightening this year, has anchored trader focus on persistent inflation risks from elevated oil prices and geopolitical tensions, driving the 30-year Treasury yield to intra-month highs near 5.36% before easing to around 5.28-5.30% amid softer energy prices. Heavy Treasury issuance, fiscal deficit concerns, and resilient economic data have lifted term premia and reinforced expectations for higher-for-longer policy, pushing yields up roughly 50 basis points from early-September levels while the curve bear-flattened. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming CPI releases and the October FOMC meeting, which could shift market-implied odds if inflation or labor-market readings surprise.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$39,818 Vol.
5.60%
2%
5.55%
2%
5.50%
4%
5.45%
4%
5.42%
14%
5.39%
23%
$39,818 Vol.
5.60%
2%
5.55%
2%
5.50%
4%
5.45%
4%
5.42%
14%
5.39%
23%
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
マーケット開始日: Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
リゾルバー
0x65070BE91...The Federal Reserve’s unanimous 25-basis-point rate hike last week, coupled with dot-plot signals for additional tightening this year, has anchored trader focus on persistent inflation risks from elevated oil prices and geopolitical tensions, driving the 30-year Treasury yield to intra-month highs near 5.36% before easing to around 5.28-5.30% amid softer energy prices. Heavy Treasury issuance, fiscal deficit concerns, and resilient economic data have lifted term premia and reinforced expectations for higher-for-longer policy, pushing yields up roughly 50 basis points from early-September levels while the curve bear-flattened. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming CPI releases and the October FOMC meeting, which could shift market-implied odds if inflation or labor-market readings surprise.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問