Nathaniel Moran, the Republican incumbent, maintains a commanding position in the Texas 1st Congressional District race due to the district's strong Republican lean, reflected in prior presidential margins exceeding 70 percent and a Partisan Voter Index around R+50. Moran advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary after other candidates withdrew, while Democratic nominee Yolanda Prince emerged from a May runoff but faces a significant fundraising gap, with Moran reporting over $1.7 million raised compared to her roughly $9,000. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Potential shifts could stem from late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unanticipated national political realignment altering turnout patterns before the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTX-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
TX-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$45,127 Vol.
$45,127 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Nathaniel Moran (R)
96%
Yolanda Prince (D)
5%
$45,127 Vol.
$45,127 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Nathaniel Moran (R)
$5,321 Vol.
96%
Yolanda Prince (D)
$39,806 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nathaniel Moran, the Republican incumbent, maintains a commanding position in the Texas 1st Congressional District race due to the district's strong Republican lean, reflected in prior presidential margins exceeding 70 percent and a Partisan Voter Index around R+50. Moran advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary after other candidates withdrew, while Democratic nominee Yolanda Prince emerged from a May runoff but faces a significant fundraising gap, with Moran reporting over $1.7 million raised compared to her roughly $9,000. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Potential shifts could stem from late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unanticipated national political realignment altering turnout patterns before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$45,127Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nathaniel Moran, the Republican incumbent, maintains a commanding position in the Texas 1st Congressional District race due to the district's strong Republican lean, reflected in prior presidential margins exceeding 70 percent and a Partisan Voter Index around R+50. Moran advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary after other candidates withdrew, while Democratic nominee Yolanda Prince emerged from a May runoff but faces a significant fundraising gap, with Moran reporting over $1.7 million raised compared to her roughly $9,000. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Potential shifts could stem from late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unanticipated national political realignment altering turnout patterns before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$45,127Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Nathaniel Moran, the Republican incumbent, maintains a commanding position in the Texas 1st Congressional District race due to the district's strong Republican lean, reflected in prior presidential margins exceeding 70 percent and a Partisan Voter Index around R+50. Moran advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary after other candidates withdrew, while Democratic nominee Yolanda Prince emerged from a May runoff but faces a significant fundraising gap, with Moran reporting over $1.7 million raised compared to her roughly $9,000. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Potential shifts could stem from late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unanticipated national political realignment altering turnout patterns before the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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