Rebecca Bennett holds a strong lead in the NJ-07 House race as traders price in the effects of incumbent Thomas Kean Jr.’s extended absence from Congress. Kean missed roughly 140 votes after entering inpatient treatment for depression in early March 2026 and only returned to the House floor on June 30. The prolonged absence shifted nonpartisan ratings toward Lean or Tilt Democratic and boosted Bennett’s profile after her June primary victory. Bennett, a former Navy helicopter pilot, has raised over $4 million with broad small-dollar support and secured endorsements from groups including the NJEA and Giffords PAC, which launched ads targeting Kean’s record on guns and crime. The district’s narrow 2024 presidential margin keeps the contest competitive, but recent momentum and visibility advantages favor the Democratic nominee ahead of the November vote.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$18,967 Vol.
$18,967 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Rebecca Bennett (D)
77%
Thomas Kean Jr. (R)
22%
$18,967 Vol.
$18,967 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Rebecca Bennett (D)
$4,164 Vol.
77%
Thomas Kean Jr. (R)
$14,803 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rebecca Bennett holds a strong lead in the NJ-07 House race as traders price in the effects of incumbent Thomas Kean Jr.’s extended absence from Congress. Kean missed roughly 140 votes after entering inpatient treatment for depression in early March 2026 and only returned to the House floor on June 30. The prolonged absence shifted nonpartisan ratings toward Lean or Tilt Democratic and boosted Bennett’s profile after her June primary victory. Bennett, a former Navy helicopter pilot, has raised over $4 million with broad small-dollar support and secured endorsements from groups including the NJEA and Giffords PAC, which launched ads targeting Kean’s record on guns and crime. The district’s narrow 2024 presidential margin keeps the contest competitive, but recent momentum and visibility advantages favor the Democratic nominee ahead of the November vote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Volume
$18,967Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rebecca Bennett holds a strong lead in the NJ-07 House race as traders price in the effects of incumbent Thomas Kean Jr.’s extended absence from Congress. Kean missed roughly 140 votes after entering inpatient treatment for depression in early March 2026 and only returned to the House floor on June 30. The prolonged absence shifted nonpartisan ratings toward Lean or Tilt Democratic and boosted Bennett’s profile after her June primary victory. Bennett, a former Navy helicopter pilot, has raised over $4 million with broad small-dollar support and secured endorsements from groups including the NJEA and Giffords PAC, which launched ads targeting Kean’s record on guns and crime. The district’s narrow 2024 presidential margin keeps the contest competitive, but recent momentum and visibility advantages favor the Democratic nominee ahead of the November vote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$18,967Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Rebecca Bennett holds a strong lead in the NJ-07 House race as traders price in the effects of incumbent Thomas Kean Jr.’s extended absence from Congress. Kean missed roughly 140 votes after entering inpatient treatment for depression in early March 2026 and only returned to the House floor on June 30. The prolonged absence shifted nonpartisan ratings toward Lean or Tilt Democratic and boosted Bennett’s profile after her June primary victory. Bennett, a former Navy helicopter pilot, has raised over $4 million with broad small-dollar support and secured endorsements from groups including the NJEA and Giffords PAC, which launched ads targeting Kean’s record on guns and crime. The district’s narrow 2024 presidential margin keeps the contest competitive, but recent momentum and visibility advantages favor the Democratic nominee ahead of the November vote.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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