Jeff Van Drew holds an 83.5% implied probability in the NJ-02 House race due to the district’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+5 Partisan Voter Index and solid ratings from forecasters including Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. The four-term incumbent advanced unopposed in the June 2026 Republican primary and benefits from established voter support in southern New Jersey counties. Zack Mullock, the Democratic nominee after his June primary win, faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republicans in recent cycles, though some internal polling has highlighted potential vulnerability tied to national conditions. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for shifts from turnout or late developments, but current trader consensus aligns with the seat’s established partisan baseline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNJ-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NJ-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$26,747 Vol.
$26,747 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Jeff Van Drew (R)
84%
Zack Mullock (D)
14%
$26,747 Vol.
$26,747 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Jeff Van Drew (R)
$13,567 Vol.
84%
Zack Mullock (D)
$13,180 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jeff Van Drew holds an 83.5% implied probability in the NJ-02 House race due to the district’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+5 Partisan Voter Index and solid ratings from forecasters including Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. The four-term incumbent advanced unopposed in the June 2026 Republican primary and benefits from established voter support in southern New Jersey counties. Zack Mullock, the Democratic nominee after his June primary win, faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republicans in recent cycles, though some internal polling has highlighted potential vulnerability tied to national conditions. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for shifts from turnout or late developments, but current trader consensus aligns with the seat’s established partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$26,747Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jeff Van Drew holds an 83.5% implied probability in the NJ-02 House race due to the district’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+5 Partisan Voter Index and solid ratings from forecasters including Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. The four-term incumbent advanced unopposed in the June 2026 Republican primary and benefits from established voter support in southern New Jersey counties. Zack Mullock, the Democratic nominee after his June primary win, faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republicans in recent cycles, though some internal polling has highlighted potential vulnerability tied to national conditions. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for shifts from turnout or late developments, but current trader consensus aligns with the seat’s established partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$26,747Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Jeff Van Drew holds an 83.5% implied probability in the NJ-02 House race due to the district’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+5 Partisan Voter Index and solid ratings from forecasters including Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. The four-term incumbent advanced unopposed in the June 2026 Republican primary and benefits from established voter support in southern New Jersey counties. Zack Mullock, the Democratic nominee after his June primary win, faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republicans in recent cycles, though some internal polling has highlighted potential vulnerability tied to national conditions. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for shifts from turnout or late developments, but current trader consensus aligns with the seat’s established partisan baseline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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