Incumbent Republican Anna Paulina Luna holds a strong position in Florida’s 13th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, supported by the seat’s Republican tilt after mid-decade redistricting and her established fundraising and campaign infrastructure. Luna’s 74.5% implied probability on Polymarket reflects trader assessment of these structural advantages, even as Democratic challenger Leela Gray, a retired Army brigadier general, secured her nomination with 65% in the August primary and released an internal poll showing her ahead by five points in late August. Recent campaign activity includes Luna’s September attack ad targeting Gray’s stock holdings and Gray’s call for debates, while an independent candidate also appears on the ballot. Traders appear to weigh the district’s partisan lean and historical performance more heavily than single partisan surveys.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Anna Paulina Luna (R)
74%
Leela Gray (D)
25%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Anna Paulina Luna (R)
$3,758 Vol.
74%
Leela Gray (D)
$5,751 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Anna Paulina Luna holds a strong position in Florida’s 13th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, supported by the seat’s Republican tilt after mid-decade redistricting and her established fundraising and campaign infrastructure. Luna’s 74.5% implied probability on Polymarket reflects trader assessment of these structural advantages, even as Democratic challenger Leela Gray, a retired Army brigadier general, secured her nomination with 65% in the August primary and released an internal poll showing her ahead by five points in late August. Recent campaign activity includes Luna’s September attack ad targeting Gray’s stock holdings and Gray’s call for debates, while an independent candidate also appears on the ballot. Traders appear to weigh the district’s partisan lean and historical performance more heavily than single partisan surveys.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
Volume
$9,509Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Anna Paulina Luna holds a strong position in Florida’s 13th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, supported by the seat’s Republican tilt after mid-decade redistricting and her established fundraising and campaign infrastructure. Luna’s 74.5% implied probability on Polymarket reflects trader assessment of these structural advantages, even as Democratic challenger Leela Gray, a retired Army brigadier general, secured her nomination with 65% in the August primary and released an internal poll showing her ahead by five points in late August. Recent campaign activity includes Luna’s September attack ad targeting Gray’s stock holdings and Gray’s call for debates, while an independent candidate also appears on the ballot. Traders appear to weigh the district’s partisan lean and historical performance more heavily than single partisan surveys.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$9,509Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Anna Paulina Luna holds a strong position in Florida’s 13th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, supported by the seat’s Republican tilt after mid-decade redistricting and her established fundraising and campaign infrastructure. Luna’s 74.5% implied probability on Polymarket reflects trader assessment of these structural advantages, even as Democratic challenger Leela Gray, a retired Army brigadier general, secured her nomination with 65% in the August primary and released an internal poll showing her ahead by five points in late August. Recent campaign activity includes Luna’s September attack ad targeting Gray’s stock holdings and Gray’s call for debates, while an independent candidate also appears on the ballot. Traders appear to weigh the district’s partisan lean and historical performance more heavily than single partisan surveys.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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