Iowa’s open 2nd Congressional District race remains tightly contested, with trader consensus reflecting a near-even split between Democratic state Representative Lindsay James and Republican nominee Joe Mitchell. The district, vacated by Representative Ashley Hinson’s Senate bid, carries a Republican lean based on recent presidential results, yet most nonpartisan raters classify it as Lean or Likely Republican. A July poll showed James at 46 percent and Mitchell at 45 percent. Key factors sustaining the deadlock include James’s DCCC Red to Blue designation and fundraising edge alongside Mitchell’s Trump endorsement, state legislative experience, and federal housing-agency background. Upcoming October debates, late-cycle polling shifts, and turnout among suburban and rural voters in the 22-county district could widen the margin before November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourIA-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
IA-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$10,009 Vol.
$10,009 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Lindsay James (D)
52%
Joe Mitchell (R)
50%
$10,009 Vol.
$10,009 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Lindsay James (D)
$4,841 Vol.
52%
Joe Mitchell (R)
$5,168 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Iowa’s open 2nd Congressional District race remains tightly contested, with trader consensus reflecting a near-even split between Democratic state Representative Lindsay James and Republican nominee Joe Mitchell. The district, vacated by Representative Ashley Hinson’s Senate bid, carries a Republican lean based on recent presidential results, yet most nonpartisan raters classify it as Lean or Likely Republican. A July poll showed James at 46 percent and Mitchell at 45 percent. Key factors sustaining the deadlock include James’s DCCC Red to Blue designation and fundraising edge alongside Mitchell’s Trump endorsement, state legislative experience, and federal housing-agency background. Upcoming October debates, late-cycle polling shifts, and turnout among suburban and rural voters in the 22-county district could widen the margin before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$10,009Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Iowa’s open 2nd Congressional District race remains tightly contested, with trader consensus reflecting a near-even split between Democratic state Representative Lindsay James and Republican nominee Joe Mitchell. The district, vacated by Representative Ashley Hinson’s Senate bid, carries a Republican lean based on recent presidential results, yet most nonpartisan raters classify it as Lean or Likely Republican. A July poll showed James at 46 percent and Mitchell at 45 percent. Key factors sustaining the deadlock include James’s DCCC Red to Blue designation and fundraising edge alongside Mitchell’s Trump endorsement, state legislative experience, and federal housing-agency background. Upcoming October debates, late-cycle polling shifts, and turnout among suburban and rural voters in the 22-county district could widen the margin before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$10,009Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Iowa’s open 2nd Congressional District race remains tightly contested, with trader consensus reflecting a near-even split between Democratic state Representative Lindsay James and Republican nominee Joe Mitchell. The district, vacated by Representative Ashley Hinson’s Senate bid, carries a Republican lean based on recent presidential results, yet most nonpartisan raters classify it as Lean or Likely Republican. A July poll showed James at 46 percent and Mitchell at 45 percent. Key factors sustaining the deadlock include James’s DCCC Red to Blue designation and fundraising edge alongside Mitchell’s Trump endorsement, state legislative experience, and federal housing-agency background. Upcoming October debates, late-cycle polling shifts, and turnout among suburban and rural voters in the 22-county district could widen the margin before November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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