Tom Cole's commanding position in the Oklahoma 4th congressional district race stems from the seat's entrenched Republican advantage, reflected in its R+17 Cook Partisan Voting Index and uniform "Safe Republican" ratings from major forecasters. As a long-serving incumbent first elected in 2002, Cole secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with 71 percent of the vote, demonstrating strong party support and fundraising capacity. Mitchell Jacob, the Democratic nominee following his narrow primary victory, faces structural barriers in a district where Republicans have consistently prevailed by wide margins in recent cycles. An independent candidate also appears on the November 3, 2026, ballot. Trader consensus aligns with this baseline, though shifts could arise from unexpected national political realignments, candidate-specific controversies, or turnout anomalies in the final weeks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOK-04 Gagnant de l'élection à la Chambre
OK-04 Gagnant de l'élection à la Chambre
$27,558 Vol.
$27,558 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Tom Cole (R)
94%
Mitchell Jacob (D)
6%
$27,558 Vol.
$27,558 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Tom Cole (R)
$15,694 Vol.
94%
Mitchell Jacob (D)
$11,864 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tom Cole's commanding position in the Oklahoma 4th congressional district race stems from the seat's entrenched Republican advantage, reflected in its R+17 Cook Partisan Voting Index and uniform "Safe Republican" ratings from major forecasters. As a long-serving incumbent first elected in 2002, Cole secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with 71 percent of the vote, demonstrating strong party support and fundraising capacity. Mitchell Jacob, the Democratic nominee following his narrow primary victory, faces structural barriers in a district where Republicans have consistently prevailed by wide margins in recent cycles. An independent candidate also appears on the November 3, 2026, ballot. Trader consensus aligns with this baseline, though shifts could arise from unexpected national political realignments, candidate-specific controversies, or turnout anomalies in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$27,558Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tom Cole's commanding position in the Oklahoma 4th congressional district race stems from the seat's entrenched Republican advantage, reflected in its R+17 Cook Partisan Voting Index and uniform "Safe Republican" ratings from major forecasters. As a long-serving incumbent first elected in 2002, Cole secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with 71 percent of the vote, demonstrating strong party support and fundraising capacity. Mitchell Jacob, the Democratic nominee following his narrow primary victory, faces structural barriers in a district where Republicans have consistently prevailed by wide margins in recent cycles. An independent candidate also appears on the November 3, 2026, ballot. Trader consensus aligns with this baseline, though shifts could arise from unexpected national political realignments, candidate-specific controversies, or turnout anomalies in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$27,558Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Tom Cole's commanding position in the Oklahoma 4th congressional district race stems from the seat's entrenched Republican advantage, reflected in its R+17 Cook Partisan Voting Index and uniform "Safe Republican" ratings from major forecasters. As a long-serving incumbent first elected in 2002, Cole secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with 71 percent of the vote, demonstrating strong party support and fundraising capacity. Mitchell Jacob, the Democratic nominee following his narrow primary victory, faces structural barriers in a district where Republicans have consistently prevailed by wide margins in recent cycles. An independent candidate also appears on the November 3, 2026, ballot. Trader consensus aligns with this baseline, though shifts could arise from unexpected national political realignments, candidate-specific controversies, or turnout anomalies in the final weeks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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