Paul LePage holds a modest edge in trader consensus for Maine’s 2nd District open seat because the rural, Republican-leaning district has favored GOP presidential candidates in recent cycles and LePage retains strong name recognition from his governorship. Dunlap secured the Democratic nomination through ranked-choice voting in June after a competitive primary, but his progressive platform has kept the race close amid polls showing near-ties or small LePage leads. Fundraising favors the Republican, while the absence of an incumbent and the district’s history of narrow margins sustain uncertainty. Key factors that could widen the gap include turnout patterns among working-class voters, late-cycle advertising, and any shifts in national political conditions before November.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Paul LePage (R)
57%
Matthew Dunlap (D)
42%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Paul LePage (R)
$5,840 Vol.
57%
Matthew Dunlap (D)
$2,663 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Paul LePage holds a modest edge in trader consensus for Maine’s 2nd District open seat because the rural, Republican-leaning district has favored GOP presidential candidates in recent cycles and LePage retains strong name recognition from his governorship. Dunlap secured the Democratic nomination through ranked-choice voting in June after a competitive primary, but his progressive platform has kept the race close amid polls showing near-ties or small LePage leads. Fundraising favors the Republican, while the absence of an incumbent and the district’s history of narrow margins sustain uncertainty. Key factors that could widen the gap include turnout patterns among working-class voters, late-cycle advertising, and any shifts in national political conditions before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jul 20, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Volume
$8,503Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 20, 2026, 6:15 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Paul LePage holds a modest edge in trader consensus for Maine’s 2nd District open seat because the rural, Republican-leaning district has favored GOP presidential candidates in recent cycles and LePage retains strong name recognition from his governorship. Dunlap secured the Democratic nomination through ranked-choice voting in June after a competitive primary, but his progressive platform has kept the race close amid polls showing near-ties or small LePage leads. Fundraising favors the Republican, while the absence of an incumbent and the district’s history of narrow margins sustain uncertainty. Key factors that could widen the gap include turnout patterns among working-class voters, late-cycle advertising, and any shifts in national political conditions before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$8,503Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 20, 2026, 6:15 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Paul LePage holds a modest edge in trader consensus for Maine’s 2nd District open seat because the rural, Republican-leaning district has favored GOP presidential candidates in recent cycles and LePage retains strong name recognition from his governorship. Dunlap secured the Democratic nomination through ranked-choice voting in June after a competitive primary, but his progressive platform has kept the race close amid polls showing near-ties or small LePage leads. Fundraising favors the Republican, while the absence of an incumbent and the district’s history of narrow margins sustain uncertainty. Key factors that could widen the gap include turnout patterns among working-class voters, late-cycle advertising, and any shifts in national political conditions before November.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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