South Dakota's at-large House seat has remained in Republican hands since 2008, reflecting the state's strong partisan lean and consistent support for GOP candidates in federal races. Marty Jackley secured the Republican nomination in the June 2026 primary with nearly 80% of the vote, leveraging his profile as state attorney general and broad party endorsements in an open-seat contest after incumbent Dusty Johnson pursued the governorship. Nikki Gronli advanced unopposed on the Democratic side but faces structural headwinds in fundraising and voter base. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical results and nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solidly Republican. Late developments such as a major scandal, candidate health event, or unanticipated national shift could still narrow margins before the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre SD-AL
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre SD-AL
$32,047 Vol.
$32,047 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Marty Jackley (R)
95%
Nikki Gronli (D)
3%
$32,047 Vol.
$32,047 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Marty Jackley (R)
$24,359 Vol.
95%
Nikki Gronli (D)
$7,688 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota's at-large House seat has remained in Republican hands since 2008, reflecting the state's strong partisan lean and consistent support for GOP candidates in federal races. Marty Jackley secured the Republican nomination in the June 2026 primary with nearly 80% of the vote, leveraging his profile as state attorney general and broad party endorsements in an open-seat contest after incumbent Dusty Johnson pursued the governorship. Nikki Gronli advanced unopposed on the Democratic side but faces structural headwinds in fundraising and voter base. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical results and nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solidly Republican. Late developments such as a major scandal, candidate health event, or unanticipated national shift could still narrow margins before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$32,047Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota's at-large House seat has remained in Republican hands since 2008, reflecting the state's strong partisan lean and consistent support for GOP candidates in federal races. Marty Jackley secured the Republican nomination in the June 2026 primary with nearly 80% of the vote, leveraging his profile as state attorney general and broad party endorsements in an open-seat contest after incumbent Dusty Johnson pursued the governorship. Nikki Gronli advanced unopposed on the Democratic side but faces structural headwinds in fundraising and voter base. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical results and nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solidly Republican. Late developments such as a major scandal, candidate health event, or unanticipated national shift could still narrow margins before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$32,047Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...South Dakota's at-large House seat has remained in Republican hands since 2008, reflecting the state's strong partisan lean and consistent support for GOP candidates in federal races. Marty Jackley secured the Republican nomination in the June 2026 primary with nearly 80% of the vote, leveraging his profile as state attorney general and broad party endorsements in an open-seat contest after incumbent Dusty Johnson pursued the governorship. Nikki Gronli advanced unopposed on the Democratic side but faces structural headwinds in fundraising and voter base. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical results and nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solidly Republican. Late developments such as a major scandal, candidate health event, or unanticipated national shift could still narrow margins before the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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