The recent Missouri Supreme Court ruling restoring the 2022 congressional map for November has shifted the MO-05 race toward Democratic incumbent Emanuel Cleaver by preserving the district’s Kansas City core and higher Democratic performance from prior cycles. Rick Brattin, the Republican nominee after winning the August primary, now faces a more challenging electorate following the reversal of the mid-decade redistricting that had aimed to strengthen GOP prospects. Cleaver’s long incumbency, unopposed primary, and established fundraising provide structural advantages, while Brattin benefits from Republican primary momentum and endorsements. With few new polls available since the decision, trader pricing at 54% for Cleaver and 44% for Brattin reflects ongoing assessment of the map’s impact on turnout and margins in the revised boundaries.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre MO-05
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre MO-05
$28,688 Vol.
$28,688 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Emanuel Cleaver (D)
55%
Rick Brattin (R)
42%
$28,688 Vol.
$28,688 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Emanuel Cleaver (D)
$11,506 Vol.
55%
Rick Brattin (R)
$17,181 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The recent Missouri Supreme Court ruling restoring the 2022 congressional map for November has shifted the MO-05 race toward Democratic incumbent Emanuel Cleaver by preserving the district’s Kansas City core and higher Democratic performance from prior cycles. Rick Brattin, the Republican nominee after winning the August primary, now faces a more challenging electorate following the reversal of the mid-decade redistricting that had aimed to strengthen GOP prospects. Cleaver’s long incumbency, unopposed primary, and established fundraising provide structural advantages, while Brattin benefits from Republican primary momentum and endorsements. With few new polls available since the decision, trader pricing at 54% for Cleaver and 44% for Brattin reflects ongoing assessment of the map’s impact on turnout and margins in the revised boundaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Volume
$28,688Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The recent Missouri Supreme Court ruling restoring the 2022 congressional map for November has shifted the MO-05 race toward Democratic incumbent Emanuel Cleaver by preserving the district’s Kansas City core and higher Democratic performance from prior cycles. Rick Brattin, the Republican nominee after winning the August primary, now faces a more challenging electorate following the reversal of the mid-decade redistricting that had aimed to strengthen GOP prospects. Cleaver’s long incumbency, unopposed primary, and established fundraising provide structural advantages, while Brattin benefits from Republican primary momentum and endorsements. With few new polls available since the decision, trader pricing at 54% for Cleaver and 44% for Brattin reflects ongoing assessment of the map’s impact on turnout and margins in the revised boundaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$28,688Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...The recent Missouri Supreme Court ruling restoring the 2022 congressional map for November has shifted the MO-05 race toward Democratic incumbent Emanuel Cleaver by preserving the district’s Kansas City core and higher Democratic performance from prior cycles. Rick Brattin, the Republican nominee after winning the August primary, now faces a more challenging electorate following the reversal of the mid-decade redistricting that had aimed to strengthen GOP prospects. Cleaver’s long incumbency, unopposed primary, and established fundraising provide structural advantages, while Brattin benefits from Republican primary momentum and endorsements. With few new polls available since the decision, trader pricing at 54% for Cleaver and 44% for Brattin reflects ongoing assessment of the map’s impact on turnout and margins in the revised boundaries.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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