Incumbent Ann Wagner holds a strong position in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, supported by the seat’s consistent Republican tilt and her repeated primary victories, most recently with nearly 74 percent in August. Democratic nominee Fred Wellman, a retired Army aviator who narrowly won his primary, faces an uphill path in a district rated Solid or Likely Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Earlier polling showed a tight race in head-to-head matchups, with national midterm dynamics and a potential state abortion referendum cited by Democrats as possible turnout factors. Traders’ current pricing reflects Wagner’s incumbency edge and the district’s baseline partisan lean over these variables.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre des représentants MO-02
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre des représentants MO-02
$11,581 Vol.
$11,581 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Ann Wagner (R)
65%
Fred Wellman (D)
36%
$11,581 Vol.
$11,581 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Ann Wagner (R)
$6,043 Vol.
65%
Fred Wellman (D)
$5,538 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Ann Wagner holds a strong position in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, supported by the seat’s consistent Republican tilt and her repeated primary victories, most recently with nearly 74 percent in August. Democratic nominee Fred Wellman, a retired Army aviator who narrowly won his primary, faces an uphill path in a district rated Solid or Likely Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Earlier polling showed a tight race in head-to-head matchups, with national midterm dynamics and a potential state abortion referendum cited by Democrats as possible turnout factors. Traders’ current pricing reflects Wagner’s incumbency edge and the district’s baseline partisan lean over these variables.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$11,581Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Ann Wagner holds a strong position in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, supported by the seat’s consistent Republican tilt and her repeated primary victories, most recently with nearly 74 percent in August. Democratic nominee Fred Wellman, a retired Army aviator who narrowly won his primary, faces an uphill path in a district rated Solid or Likely Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Earlier polling showed a tight race in head-to-head matchups, with national midterm dynamics and a potential state abortion referendum cited by Democrats as possible turnout factors. Traders’ current pricing reflects Wagner’s incumbency edge and the district’s baseline partisan lean over these variables.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$11,581Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Ann Wagner holds a strong position in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, supported by the seat’s consistent Republican tilt and her repeated primary victories, most recently with nearly 74 percent in August. Democratic nominee Fred Wellman, a retired Army aviator who narrowly won his primary, faces an uphill path in a district rated Solid or Likely Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Earlier polling showed a tight race in head-to-head matchups, with national midterm dynamics and a potential state abortion referendum cited by Democrats as possible turnout factors. Traders’ current pricing reflects Wagner’s incumbency edge and the district’s baseline partisan lean over these variables.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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